UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena - Odds, Predictions & Picks
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UFC 315 Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena - Odds, Predictions & Picks

Published: May. 9, 2025, 10:00 AM ET
6 min read
  • Two title fights are featured on the UFC’s return to Canada

  • Muhammad makes his first welterweight title defense against Della Maddalena

  • Shevchenko makes her first title defense since regaining her flyweight belt

UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena

The odds for this match are provided by the FanDuel Sportsbook. Place your bets at FanDuel and get $200 in Bonus Bets with a winning wager.

Fighter Odds
(C) Belal Muhammad -188
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Jack Della Maddalena +152
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Fighter Odds
(C) Valentina Shevchenko +100
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Manon Fiorot -122
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Fighter Odds
Jose Aldo -215
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Aiemann Zahabi +172
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Fighter Odds
Alexa Grasso +186
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Natalia Silva -235
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Fighter Odds
Benoit Saint Denis -1050
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Kyle Prepolec +630
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Belal Muhammad vs. Jack Della Maddalena Predictions

UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena - Picks & Predictions

(C) Belal Muhammad vs. Jack Della Maddalena - Welterweight championship

Our pick: Belal Muhammad (-188) at FanDuel

(C) Valentina Shevchenko vs. Manon Fiorot - Women’s Flyweight championship

Our pick: Manon Fiorot (-122) at FanDuel

Jose Aldo vs. Aiemann Zahabi - Bantamweight division

Our pick: Jose Aldo (-215) at FanDuel

Alexa Grasso vs. Natalia Silva - Women’s Flyweight division

Our pick: Alexa Grasso (+186) at FanDuel

Benoit Saint Denis vs. Kyle Prepolec - Lightweight division

Our pick: Benoit Saint Denis (-1050) at FanDuel

Belal Muhammad vs. Jack Della Maddalena - Welterweight Championship

Belal Muhammad TALE OF THE TAPE Jack Della Maddalena
36 Age 28
5 ft 10 in Height 5 ft 11 in
72 in Reach 73 in
24-3, 1 no-contest Record 17-2

Belal Muhammad has remained undefeated in the UFC since 2019 and that winning streak culminated last July at UFC 304 when he won the welterweight title from Leon Edwards in the main event. This weekend he makes his first title defense.

Muhammad takes on Australia’s Jack Della Maddalena, who has not lost a fight since 2016. He is coming off of a devastating knockout win over former title challenger Gilbert Burns that took place last March at UFC 299.

Della Maddalena was originally slated to face Leon Edwards but when original title challenger Shavkat Rakhmonov pulled out of his title fight due to injury, the number-five ranked Della Maddalena stepped in to take his place.

The champion will stand one-inch shorter and have a one-inch disadvantage in reach, but the grappling specialist still comes in as a -188 favorite at FanDuel to retain his championship.

To find out how to place your bets for this welterweight title main event, check out our ultimate UFC betting guide to get started.

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Valentina Shevchenko vs. Manon Fiorot - Women’s Flyweight Championship

Valentina Shevchenko TALE OF THE TAPE Manon Fiorot
37 Age 35
5 ft 5 in Height 5 ft 7 in
66.5 in Reach 65 in
24-4-1 Record 12-1

For the first time since regaining her title last September, Valentina Shevchenko will defend her title; this time against number-two flyweight contender and former K-1 kickboxing champion Manon Fiorot.

Shevchenko went 1-1-1 against Alexa Grasso over her last three fights, ending the trilogy by regaining her flyweight championship at UFC 306.

Fiorot has not lost a fight since her first professional bout. She is on a 12-fight winning streak that includes seven wins in the UFC. She most recently defeated Erin Blanchfield by unanimous decision last March.

Shevchenko will have a 1.5-inch reach advantage over the taller Fiorot. However, in a rare occurrence for her, the champion is listed as a +100 underdog at FanDuel for this co-main event.

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Jose Aldo vs. Aiemann Zahabi - Bantamweight Division

Jose Aldo TALE OF THE TAPE Aiemann Zahabi
38 Age 37
5 ft 7 in Height 5 ft 8 in
70 in Reach 68 in
32-9 Record 12-2

One of the greatest fighters of all time, Jose Aldo, will return to the octagon this weekend. Despite his age, he is once again listed as -215 favorite via FanDuel.

Aldo takes on Canadian fighter Aiemann Zahabi - a BJJ black belt who has won five in a row for the UFC.

Zahabi is coming off of a unanimous decision win over Pedro Munhoz that took place last November. Meanwhile, Aldo is just 2-2 in his last four fights and is coming off of a split-decision loss against Mario Bautista.

Zahabi will be the taller fighter but Aldo will have a two-inch reach advantage.

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Alexa Grasso vs. Natalia Silva - Flyweight Division

Alexa Grasso TALE OF THE TAPE Natalia Silva
31 Age 28
5 ft 5 in Height 5 ft 4 in
66 in Reach 65 in
16-4-1 Record 18-5-1

Like the current champion Valentina Shevchenko, the former flyweight champion Alexa Grasso is also listed as an underdog on this weekend’s main card.

Grasso’s last three fights all came against Shevchenko. She won the flyweight title from her at UFC 285. The two rematched and fought to a draw in September 2023. One year later, Grasso lost her title back to Shevchenko at UFC 306.

Natalia Silva, the number-five ranked women’s flyweight, is 6-0 in the UFC and hasn’t lost a fight since 2018. In her most recent appearance, Silva defeated former champion Jessica Andrade by unanimous decision.

Grasso will stand one-inch taller and have a one-inch reach advantage, but it is the younger Natalia Silva who is favored at -235 via FanDuel.

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Benoit Saint Denis vs. Kyle Prepolec - Lightweight Division

Benoit Saint Denis TALE OF THE TAPE Kyle Prepolec
29 Age 35
5 ft 11 in Height 5 ft 9 in
73 in Reach 70 in
13-3, 1 no-contest Record 18-8

Starting the main card off with a bang will be Benoit Saint Denis, who is listed as a whopping -1050 favorite via FanDuel over his opponent Kyle Prepolec this weekend despite losing his last two fights.

Saint Denis was on a five-fight winning streak before suffering recent losses against Dustin Poirier and Renato Moicano.

Kyle Prepolec will be making his UFC return after winning three in a row on the regional scene. He went 0-2 during his first tenure with the promotion.

Saint Denis will stand two-inches taller and have a three-inch reach advantage.

Bet $5 at FanDuel and Get $200 in Bonus Bets if Your Wager Hits

How to Watch UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena

  • Location: Bell Centre, Montreal, Quebec, Canada

  • When: Saturday, May 10

  • Time: 10PM EST

  • How: PPV, UFC Fight Pass, ESPN+

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Ryan Bristlon

Ryan Bristlon

Sports Betting Analyst

Expertise:
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Ryan Bristlon is a Canadian writer currently residing in Hamilton, Ontario. He studied print and broadcast journalism at Humber College and has been a lifelong fan of hockey, the NHL in general, and UFC.
Email: [email protected]
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Education: Print and Broadcast Journalism
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