Fountain of Youth Stakes (Gulfstream Park) Predictions, Picks, Betting Odds 2022
Fountain of Youth Stakes Odds and Post Position
|M Meneses||J Avila|
|J Ortiz||A Sano|
|3||HOWLING TIME||15/1 |
|J Talamo||D Romans|
|4||IN DUE TIME||5/1 |
|P Lopez||K Breen|
|5||DEAN DELIVERS||15/1 |
|M A Vasquez||M Yates|
|6||RATTLE N ROLL||6/1 |
|B J Hernandez Jr||K McPeek|
|7||A. P.’S SECRET||15/1 |
|T Gaffalione||S Joseph Jr|
|L Saez||T Pletcher|
|9||HIGH OAK||10/1 |
|J Alvarado||W Mott|
|10||GIANT GAME||15/1 |
|C Lanerie||D Romans|
|11||O CAPTAIN||30/1 |
|J Castellano||G Delgado|
|J Rosario||W Mott|
Fountain of Youth Stakes Picks, Best Bets
If you’re playing only to win, go with my top longshot pick Giant Game 15/1).
Here are my plays ($60 in total)
$10 Win, Place Show – Giant Game = $30
$5 Exacta Part Wheel – Emmanuel over Giant Game, In Due Time and Rattle N Roll = $10
$5 Exacta Part Wheel -Giant Game, In Due Time and Rattle N Roll over Emmanuel = $10
Unbeaten in two impressive starts to begin his career, Emmanuel will try to prove himself a serious Kentucky Derby horse when he faces eleven other 3-year-olds in Saturday’s Grade 2 Fountain of Youth Stakes at Gulfstream Park.
Trained by the Hall of Famer Todd Pletcher, the son of More Than Ready has won both his starts in sparkling style, first going a flat mile at Gulfstream Park, where he won by nearly seven lengths. He followed that up with an easy win over Glider and the rest of his competition in a Tampa Bay Downs allowance race five weeks ago.
Chief among his competition will be the Antonio Sano-trained Simplification. A sharp winner of the Mucho Macho Man Stakes at Gulfstream Park two starts back when going wire-to-wire, the son of Not This Time may have run even better last time when second in the Grade 3 Holy Bull Stakes.
Breaking poorly, he had to come from well off the pace to finish second behind White Abarrio.
The Kelly Breen-trained In Due Time is another who should get wagering support. A winner of 2-of-3 lifetime, the Not This Time colt comes into the $400,000 Holy Bull off an impressive allowance score going a mile over the Gulfstream Park main track four weeks ago.
Contested at 8 ½ furlongs, the Fountain of Youth will award qualifying points for this spring’s Kentucky Derby on a scale of 50-20-10-5 to the top four finishers.
Fountain of Youth Stakes Race Analysis
It’s hard not to like what this son of More Than Ready was able to accomplish in his first two starts.
He has already been at least a mile twice and has won at two different tracks. He will be back at Gulfstream on Saturday, which was the site of his romping debut victory. Last time, he easily dispatched a pretty nice horse in Glider. He also has a physical presence that made him look like a man against boys in his first two starts.
Obviously, this will be a big test as he moves up into stakes company and a tough one at that. With all the speed in here, he also may need to prove he can pass horses to win this. Still, I think he has a world of potential and is the one to beat.
This one will be hard to dismiss after running several good races over the Gulfstream Park main track. The Mucho Macho Man winner likely lost all chance with a poor break in the Grade 2 Holy Bull, but was still good enough to edge out Mo Donegal for second.
Look for him to show more speed this time, but that might not be a good thing in a race that is loaded with early speed.
The first of three sired by Not This Time, he deserves to be one of the two favorites off those two very good stakes performances, but something tells me that he is about to fall short against a few other promising runners entered in the Fountain of Youth.
In Due Time
A game debut winner back in July, this son of Not This Time came back in an especially tough allowance sprint after six months away.
Not surprisingly he was beaten, but the third-place effort on January 8 was a good effort that set him up well for his second start off the layoff. Stretching out to a mile in a Gulfstream Park allowance race, he looked terrific in rolling from off the pace and cruising down the lane over a pretty good field.
A similar effort on Saturday puts him in with a chance, and as a grandson of both Giant’s Causeway and Curlin, he should love the added ground. I think he is a horse on the rise and is one of the biggest threats in here.
Rattle N Roll
After a spirited rally from too far back in his debut and an eventful second time out, this son of Connect looked really good in his third and fourth starts.
After five months away, he will begin his Kentucky Derby trail on Saturday at Gulfstream Park. I don’t think the distance nor the track will ultimately be where he does his best running, so I am not going to pick him here, but with plenty of speed up front, it would not be a surprise to see him flying late. This race should be just a tightener, and I will look for better things from him in the near future.
It’s been a while since we’ve seen this good-looking son of Gormley. A winner of his first two starts, he made some noise last summer in the second one when he won the Grade 2 Saratoga Special with a flourish. Trained by the patient Bill Mott, it was a lot to accomplish so early in his career.
Unfortunately, he did not repeat the effort when fourth in the Grade 1 Hopeful and we have not seen him since. It’s interesting and probably a sign of confidence in his horse that Mott would bring him back after six months against this bunch, but still it is a tough spot to return. One of many dangerous horses in this field, I am going to take the wait and see approach with him first time off the layoff.
A full brother to the great Songbird, this son of Medaglia d’Oro did nothing to embarrass himself in his stakes debut last time.
The improving colt went right to the lead in the Holy Bull and while he could not match strides with White Abarrio in early stretch, he fought on all the way to the wire to finish fourth behind three very good horses.
Further improvement on Saturday makes him a legitimate threat, but I worry that with plenty of speed in here, how will he fare coming from the far outside post. It might be too easy for him to get pushed out well wide on the first turn, and for that reason, I am going to pass on him here.
Coming off an ugly eighth-place finish in the Holy Bull, it would be easy to dismiss this son of Giant’s Causeway on Saturday. I think that would be a mistake.
Said by his jockey to have a lot of horse in mid-race, all chance was lost when he flipped his palate. Struggling for air the rest of the way, it’s no wonder he slowed to a crawl in the stretch. With the throat problem fixed, he comes right back to try again, and I think he has a big shot. He looked to have a world of potential last fall when he won a maiden at Keeneland and finished third in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile. He is a live longshot in here and one that I will have on all my tickets.
A good-looking winner of his first two starts, including the Street Sense Stakes at Churchill Downs, he failed as second favorite last time in the Grade 2 Kentucky Jockey Club.
The good news is that several horses have exited that race to run very well in their next start. This one is eligible to join the list, but only if he can come back sharp in his first race in more than three months.
He has good tactical speed and has shown the ability to pass horses. I like others better, but he is a dangerous horse to leave off your tickets.
A. P.’s Secret
This one will be tested for class on Saturday as he makes his stakes debut. With two wins and a second in three career starts, he has done little wrong so far, other than not being able to keep up with Strike Hard down the lane in his second start.
He did show nice improvement to win a local allowance race nicely. He is not one of the ones that I like best, but is one of many in this strong field with a chance to run big and make some serious noise on Saturday. He is also another horse with pretty good early speed which could make it tough on all of the early runners.
A gelded son of Cajun Breeze, this one has proven a tough out in three consecutive very solid performances since breaking his maiden in his debut.
No doubt one of the best sprinters on the grounds, he will look to do one better than his three straight runner-up finishes when he stretches out to 8 ½ furlongs on Saturday.
I cannot dismiss him, as well as he has run thus far, but I think he has found a difficult spot for his first try around two turns. He’ll likely make his presence felt early, but I don’t love his chances in the final furlong.
A Florida-bred son of Social Inclusion, this one has run well in all three of his lifetime starts. After a very competitive runner-up finish in his debut at Gulfstream Park, he came back to easily break his maiden next out while sprinting again. Both of those came against statebreds, so it was a jump up in class when he ventured cross state for the Pasco Stakes at Tampa Bay Downs.
There he beat open company nicely at 7 furlongs. One of several in here with speed, he should have his hands full as he stretches out and faces much tougher competition in this one.
Like the race favorite, this one was an impressive maiden winner two starts back in his career debut, which came back in August. Given some time off before returning for his second start, he came back in the 6 furlong Limehouse Stakes, and although he passed some horses to get third, he was a long way behind the top two. It was a tough spot for his return, but now he finds a much tougher spot here and looks up against it in this Grade 2 affair.
How to Watch the Fountain of Youth Stakes
|Fountain of Youth Stakes Race Information|
|What||Fountain of Youth Stakes (Grade 2)|
|Time||Saturday, March 5 — 5:42pm Eastern time|
|How to Watch||TVG|
More Horse Racing Predictions & Odds
Useful Betting Guides
Taken to the races at a very young age, Brian has been a passionate fan of horse racing his entire life. Professionally, his work has been published on several leading industry sites. Brian served as the Editor of Horse Racing Nation from 2010-2017, where he still writes a regular column and hosts the popular weekly webcast HorseCenter.
Email: [email protected]