Fountain of Youth Stakes (Gulfstream Park) Predictions, Odds & Picks

Fountain of Youth Stakes

If you're playing only to win, go with my top pick Greatest Honour (8/5) and my top longshot King’s Ovation (20-1)

Post Position and Odds – Fountain of Youth Stakes

Check out our predictions and odds for the 2020 Fountain of Youth Stakes at Gulfstream Park!

PP Horse Odds Jockey Trainer
1 DRAIN THE CLOCK 9/2
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E Zayas S Joseph Jr
2 PRIME FACTOR 5/1
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I Ortiz Jr T Pletcher
3 SOSOSUBTLE 20/1
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P Lopez A De La Cerda
4 FIRE AT WILL 5/1
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K Carmouche M Maker
5 JIRAFALES 20/1
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J Castellano G Delgado
6 KING’S OVATION 20/1
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C Lanerie D Romans
7 TARANTINO 8/1
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T Gaffalione R Brisset
8 GREATEST HONOUR 8/5
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J Ortiz C McGaughey
9 TIZ TACT TOE 50/1
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R Maragh R Hess Jr
10 PAPETU 15/1
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J Alvarado A Sano

Best Bets for the Fountain of Youth Stakes

Here are my plays ($52 in total)

$2 Trifecta part wheel – Greatest Honour over Fire at Will, Prime Factor, Tarantino and Papetu over King’s Ovation = $8

$2 Trifecta part wheel – Greatest Honour over King’s Ovation over Fire at Will, Prime Factor, Tarantino and Papetu = $8

$2 Exacta Box – Greatest Honour, Fire at Will and King’s Ovation = $12

$2 Exacta Box – Greatest Honour, Prime Factor and King’s Ovation = $12

$2 Exacta Box – Greatest Honour, Tarantino and King’s Ovation = $12

Top Pick:

Greatest Honour (8/5)

Top Longshot:

King’s Ovation (20-1)

Greatest Honour, a resounding winner of last month’s Holy Bull, looks to build upon his Kentucky Derby credentials when he rates top billing in Saturday’s Grade 2 Fountain of Youth Stakes at Gulfstream Park.

Trained by Hall of Famer Shug McGaughey, the regally bred son of Tapit came rolling down the Gulfstream stretch to a 5 ¾-length victory four weeks ago. It was his second straight win at the local oval and announced him as the horse to beat on South Florida’s trail to the first Saturday in May. The second choice in the Holy Bull, Greatest Honour should be a clear favorite in the $300,000 Fountain of Youth.

His main competition could come from a trio of runners who figure to vie for secondary favoritism. The most accomplished of the trio is Fire at Will, who won the Grade 1 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf in his most recent start and will look to transition back to the main track.

Meanwhile, Drain the Clock was an impressive winner over the track in a pair of sprint stakes, including the Grade 3 Swale Stakes last time, and Prime Factor finished third behind Greatest Honour as the Holy Bull as the favorite in only his second-lifetime start.

The 1 1/16-mile Fountain of Youth will offer the top four finishers Kentucky Derby qualifying points on a scale of 50-20-10-5.

How to Watch the Fountain of Youth Stakes

Fountain of Youth Stakes Information
What Fountain of Youth Stakes (Grade 2)
Where Gulfstream Park
When Saturday, February 27 — 6:10 pm Eastern time
How to Watch TVG
Purse $300,000

Race Analysis

Greatest Honour

After looking like a horse with promise without winning in his first three starts at 2, this son of Tapit has taken things up a few notches as a 3-year-old. After a sharp maiden score, he came right back to impressively run by his competition in the Holy Bull. It was one of the most impressive victories of the crop so far and points him out as a serious Kentucky Derby contender. Trained by a man who knows how to keep a good horse happy, and with two strong wins over the track, Greatest Honour certainly looks like the horse they all have to beat on Saturday. There are a few new shooters in here with some talent, but they’re also looks to be even more speed than the last one, which should only help his chances. He is the top pick

Drain the Clock

This one certainly looks to have a bright future sprinting, and with three romps over the track, he also has shown a strong appreciation for his Gulfstream Park surroundings. So good are his sprint performances, that he is probably the most likely one to go off as the second choice in the Fountain of Youth. He’s dangerous, but I am going to try to beat him. He looks more likely to be a sprinter to me and this is a tough group to stretch out against. Combine that with plenty of early speed to press him early, and I believe he is a good bet against on Saturday.

Fire at Will

It’s hard to know for sure how his transition back to dirt will go against strong competition, but what we do already know is that he can compete at a high level and that he can finish strongly at the distance. As for dirt, he is a stakes winner on the slop, has been working well on the main track and his trainer Mike Maker has a lot of confidence in his ability to handle the surface. He has been off since the Breeders’ Cup win nearly four months ago, but he just seems like a horse likely to fire. It’s a tough spot for a return, but if anyone does beat the favorite, he is one of the most likely candidates.

Prime Factor

Favored in the Holy Bull off a romping maiden win, he came up relatively empty when challenged by Greatest Honour. He will need to move forward on Saturday to do better than a well-beaten third, but I do look for him to do just that. He only had a sprint as experience and did make a good move on the turn before flattening out. With that top-level, two-turn experience under his belt, look for him to be stronger this time around. Will it be enough for the Todd Pletcher-trained runner to turn the tables on Greatest Honour? Probably not, but he should be able to give him a better test in the Fountain of Youth.

Tarantino

This one made a very solid transition from turf to dirt last time when he finished second behind Greatest Honour in the Holy Bull. Trained by Rudolphe Brisset, this Pioneer of the Nile colt had previously turned in three strong performances, all on turf, at three different racetracks to begin his career. Proven in stakes company, he has run well wherever he has been tested. Having said that, he had no answer for the top choice down the lane last time, and with more speed signed up for this one, his task seems even tougher on Saturday. Still, he remains a threat to hit the board.

Papetu

A first-out winner over the Gulfstream Park main track, the son of Dialed In returned to the oval to run a pair of decent races in stakes company in his last two, finishing second in the Mucho Macho Man and fourth in the Holy Bull. Now 2-for-4 at Gulfstream for trainer Antonio Sano, he clearly likes the track. He also has the ability to rally, which could benefit him in the Fountain of Youth. Last time, though, he could not go with Greatest Honour in the stretch and was beaten by more than ten lengths. A possibility to hit the board, but it’s hard to imagine him turning the tables on the Holy Bull winner.

Sososubtle

After a failed effort in his debut on the grass, this son of Speightster took to the main track at Gulfstream Park with an easy win against Florida-bred maidens. It was a sharp effort in which he tracked the leaders and took over nicely, but now he jumps into the deep end of the pool on Saturday. While it’s hard to argue with his dirt debut, I see this as too big a class jump to give him major consideration here.

King’s Ovation

A son of good young sire Not this Time, he moved way up from a dull debut performance at Keeneland to a nice rallying maiden win at Churchill Downs in his second career start. The Dale Romans trainee then showed little in his third and final start as a juvenile. To no surprise, he was then a big longshot when entered in the Grade 3 Swale last time, but outran his odds when rallying for a second. Perhaps another step up will prove too much on Saturday, but I liked the way he rallied over the Gulfstream strip last time without the benefit of a good trip. He was never going to beat Drain the Clock that day, but now stretching out, I think he can build upon that performance. At big odds, I believe he can make some noise in here.

Jirafales

An impressive debut win from way back in a Florida-bred maiden sprint at Gulfstream Park West in November for the Gustavo Delgado trainee did not translate very well as he moved up to a graded stakes company for his second start. He was able to pass a few tiring horses in the Holy Bull but was never involved with the main players in that one. He will be a deserving longshot in the Fountain of Youth.

Tiz Tact Toe

Still a maiden, this one comes in off three losing efforts on the turf. In his latest, he finished a close-up fourth in a maiden claimer at Gulfstream Park. Perhaps he improves in the switch to dirt, perhaps he does not, but either way, he looks overmatched on Saturday.

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Brian Zipse

Expert on Horse Racing

Taken to the races at a very young age, Brian has been a passionate fan of horse racing his entire life. Professionally, his work has been published on several leading industry sites. Brian served as the Editor of Horse Racing Nation from 2010-2017, where he still writes a regular column and hosts the popular weekly webcast HorseCenter.

Email: [email protected]