Best NRFI Bets Today: Expect the Mets to Continue to Struggle on Offense

Heading into Tuesday’s contest against Atlanta, the New York Mets' struggles on offense are poised to persist as they face off against Spencer Strider who generates Whiffs at a very high rate. Shortly after their opening pitch, we turn our attention towards the NL Central divisional matchup between Pittsburgh and Milwaukee as negative regression looms large over the Brewers' offense with Paul Skenes on the mound.

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Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets - Spencer Strider vs. Clay Holmes (7:10 PM, EST)

Under 0.5 Run (-125) at Hard Rock Bet Sportsbook

Since returning from injury, Spencer Strider has struggled to round back into NL Cy Young contending form as the Atlanta Braves pitcher is averaging an ERA of 4.04, a WHIP of 1.300, and a FIP of 4.04. While his current marks on the mound look alarming on paper, it’s worth noting he also generates Whiffs at a high rate as he averages less than one Hit Allowed and more than one Strikeout per Inning Pitched.

Fortunately for Strider, he has a great opportunity to build some momentum against the New York Mets as he faces off against an offense who ranks in the bottom half of the board in Contact Rate, RBIs, and in Total Runs Scored. Especially with his back end providing him a high level of support with their coverage as the Braves' defense ranks above league average in Defensive Efficiency and in Fielding Percentage.

Like Strider, Clay Holmes also finds himself in a favorable position to thrive as he faces off against a Braves lineup who ranks below league average in the same previously mentioned offensive metrics. Expect the Braves to continue to struggle against Holmes as the Mets pitcher heads into the contest averaging an ERA of 3.46 and less than one Hit Against per Inning Pitched.

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Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers - Paul Skenes vs. Freddy Peralta (7:40 PM, EST)

Under 0.5 Run (-155) at Hard Rock Bet Sportsbook

After winning the NL Rookie of the Year award last year, Paul Skenes has managed to carry over his momentum into this season as he is currently listed as the betting favorite to win the NL Cy Young award this season. His ability to keep runners out of scoring position has played a major role in his success this season as Skenes is averaging an ERA of 1.94 and a WHIP of 0.931.

Even though he faces off against a Milwaukee Brewers offense who excels at making contact, Skenes is capable of neutralizing any offense with just his individual production on the mound as his NL leading FIP of 2.32 indicates. His back end also helps further reduce the amount of contact variance in his starts as the Pittsburgh Pirates defense ranks top-10 in Defensive Efficiency.

While the Brewers have thrived on offense, the Pirates have struggled as their lineup currently ranks below league average in Contact Rate and in On Base Percentage. With Freddy Peralta on the mound, expect the Pirates offense to continue to underwhelm in their efforts of getting on base as the Brewers pitcher excels at avoiding contact by averaging an ERA of 3.03 and less than five Hits per game.

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Best YRFI Bets Today

• Chicago Cubs vs. Toronto Blue Jays - Ben Brown vs. Jose Berrios - With Ben Brown averaging an ERA of 6.04 and nearly two runners on base per inning, expect the Toronto Blue Jays offense to get into scoring position from the opening pitch as their lineup currently leads the league in Contact Rate and in On Base Percentage.

• Colorado Rockies vs. St. Louis Cardinals - Kyle Freeland vs. Matthew Liberatore - The St. Louis Cardinals offense have the opportunity to open up the scoring early on in their contest against the Colorado Rockies as they face off against Kyle Freeland who averages a WHIP of 1.523 and a defense who ranks dead last in Defensive Efficiency and in Fielding Percentage.

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