Baltimore Ravens vs Buffalo Bills: Predictions and Odds (NFL Week 14)
The Green Men of WSN’s Picks and Best Bets Podcast predict the Ravens will win this one thanks to their offense. My prediction for the final score is Ravens 27, Bills 24
How to Watch: Ravens vs Bills
What: Baltimore Ravens at Buffalo Bills
When: Sunday, December 8 at 1:00 pm ET
Where: New Era Field in Orchard Park, New York
How (TV): CBS
Ravens vs Bills – Point Spread
Ravens -5.5, Bills +5.5
Baltimore vs Buffalo – Game Preview
The NFL schedulers did a terrific job setting up this AFC doozie for Week 14, pitting Lamar Jackson and his unstoppable 10-2 Baltimore Ravens against the most underrated 9-3 team ever, the Buffalo Bills, now led by a second-year quarterback with a cannon for an arm, Josh Allen.
The Ravens have won their last eight games in a row (including against the Seahawks, Patriots, Texans, Rams, and 49ers) while the Bills have taken care of four of their last opponents (including the Cowboys and the Broncos), so both of these teams are used to winning nowadays.
Baltimore has the more productive offense, but Buffalo is better on the other side of the ball, so we take a quick side-by-side look at these two teams to see how they match up with one another for this Week 14 AFC possible playoff preview. For more info on Week 14 check our power rankings!
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The 10-2-0 Baltimore Ravens
The Baltimore Ravens have won ten games like they did last season, only this time there are still ten games left to go in the regular season, and given their competition after this one (Jets, Browns, and Steelers) it is very likely that they could go 13-3 or better.
Lamar Jackson has become a must-watch phenom, his ability to break ankles and shake free of defenders on the ground while becoming a legitimate passing threat through the air has made him one of those once-in-a-lifetime talents that football fans of every team tune in to see.
With Mark Ingram and Gus Edwards impressing out of the backfield and Marquise Brown and tight end Mark Andrews becoming consistent targets, this high-scoring team could win football games even if their defense wasn’t a top-10 unit that knows how to keep opponents to well under 20 points per game.
The 9-3-0 Buffalo Bills
The Buffalo Bills don’t seem to get much credit for being a 9-3 team, but a win over the Baltimore Ravens in Week 14 would go a long way to proving that Josh Allen’s crew is actually the real deal regardless of whatever teams they play.
With a top-5 rushing attack led by record-setting veteran Frank Gore and with two legitimate receiving threats, John Brown and slot receiver Cole Beasley, the Bills’ offense can put points on the board, certainly enough to outscore what their killer defense holds their opponents to.
Buffalo has the third-best defense in the league, and all-season they have been using coordinator Leslie Frazier’s group to shut opponents down, and now facing this offensively superior Ravens team (and the Patriots in Week 16) will be the team’s fiercest obstacles to proving they can win the big games, too.
Ravens vs Bills – History
These two AFC cross-divisional rivals have met 8 total times (including no postseason games), with Baltimore winning 5 of those times and Buffalo winning the other 3 games.
The last time these two teams played was in September of last season when the Bills went to Baltimore and got crushed by a lopsided score of 47-3.
If the Ravens win this matchup, they’ll move to 11-2-0 and stay high atop the AFC North and remain the projected 1st AFC seed in the playoffs, which, since they already defeated the New England Patriots, would give them home advantage throughout the postseason up until the Super Bowl.
But if the Bills come out winners in this one, they’ll be 10-3-0 and will have proven that they can beat a legitimately excellent team like the Ravens, though Buffalo would still most likely enter the playoffs as a Wild Card team, currently projected to be the 5th AFC seed
Questions to Answer
Who’s favored to win this Week 14 Ravens-Bills matchup?
Which team has a better offense? Defense? Special teams?
Which team’s quarterback is more likely to lead his team to victory?
We’re going to briefly compare the Ravens and the Bills next and attempt to answer those questions and more.
Offensive Stats Comparison
Baltimore Ravens Overall Offense
- Ranked 2nd overall in 2019
- Passing attack currently ranked 25th
- Rushing attack currently ranked 1st
The Baltimore Ravens are a lot of fun to watch on offense, and that’s mostly because of their second-year quarterback Lamar Jackson, who has essentially rewritten the way the Run Pass Option (RPO) offense is played.
Jackson’s ability to skillfully hide his intentions to give, run or pass the football has left most opponents clueless, to the point where one player remarked after a loss to Baltimore, in so many words, “To be honest, half the time I had no idea who had the ball.”
Right now the team has offensive guard Randin Crecelius on concussion protocol, which could hurt with the team’s depth at that position, but otherwise, the Baltimore offense is as healthy as they have been for a long time.
Buffalo Bills Overall Offense
- Ranked 17th overall in 2019
- Passing attack currently ranked 23rd
- Rushing attack currently ranked 5th
Quarterback Josh Allen is gradually figuring out how to be an NFL quarterback – case in point, his win over the Dallas Cowboys last week, he completed 19-of-24 for 231 yards and a touchdown, but more importantly threw zero interceptions (he’s only thrown one in the last seven games), proving he’s getting better at taking care of the ball.
The big positive of the Bills’ offense is their running attack, led by the league’s third most productive all-time rusher, Frank Gore, but the big offensive negative is the team’s inability to get on the board, right now averaging just 21.4 points per game.
One big offensive concern for the Buffalo Bills in Week 14 is guard Ty Nsekhe’s injured ankle, which right now has him listed as questionable for this game, which hurts Buffalo’s O-line depth and their ability to keep Allen safe and Gore moving forward.
The Baltimore Ravens have Lamar Jackson, so they automatically have the offensive advantage, though it wouldn’t be smart to underestimate Josh Allen’s ability to throw John Brown the deep ball.
Defensive Stats Comparison
Baltimore Ravens Overall Defense
- Ranked 9th overall in 2019
- Passing defense currently ranked 13th
- Rushing defense currently ranked 6th
The Baltimore Ravens’ defense (which has been historically good but which started the season out shockingly off), has been improving with each game, and now they are ranked in the top-10 where they belong, keeping opponents to just over 18 points per game.
The Ravens are tied for the seventh most interceptions in the league with 11 so expect them to get after the young Josh Allen throughout the game, though Baltimore only has 27 sacks ((T-22nd most) so they are not too big a threat in the enemy backfield.
Injuries have kept the Ravens’ defense from playing their best – right now nine of their starters are on the injured reserve list – but hopefully, linebacker Patrick Onwuasor (ankle) will be healthy enough to play in this one, right now listed as questionable.
Buffalo Bills Overall Defense
- Ranked 3rd overall in 2019
- Passing defense currently ranked 3rd
- Rushing defense currently ranked 14th
The Buffalo Bills have one of the league’s best defenses, coordinated by Leslie Frazier these days and able to keep opponents to just 15.7 points per game, which is the third-lowest in the league behind the Patriots and the 49ers.
The problem with this matchup is the fact that the Bills are weaker against the run than they are against the pass, and it just so happens that they are facing the league’s best rushing attack, so that could be the difference in this game.
Another factor in this game will be with defensive injuries – the Bills’ defense is missing linebacker depth right now with two of their players now on injured reserve, Maurice Alexander (knee) and Vosean Joseph (shoulder).
The Buffalo Bills have the defensive advantage for this matchup, but the Ravens are the best in the league at shutting down the run so that they could tilt the advantage their way throughout the course of the game.
Ravens vs Bills – Final Game Analysis
Why Will the Ravens Win this Game?
The Baltimore Ravens will win their ninth game in a row because Lamar Jackson’s rushing attack is impossible to stop right now (as some of the league’s best teams have discovered) and as good as the Bills are on defense, they will not be able to stop Baltimore’s run game.
The Ravens know how to shut opponents down, but even if they didn’t, their league-leading, almost 34 points per game average on offense is enough to outscore the best of teams, but especially a Bills franchise that averages just over 21 points per game.
Baltimore will win this one because they are loaded with confidence right now and their 5-1 road record proves that they can win just about anywhere, and against a Bills team that’s only ‘meh’ against the run, this one should be a total walk (run?) in the park for them on Sunday.
Why Will the Bills Win this Game?
If the Buffalo Bills are truly tired of hearing how they are a bad 9-3 team, there is no better solution to that than to beat these thriving Baltimore Ravens – doing what the Patriots, 49ers, and Seahawks couldn’t do would certainly shut any doubters up.
To win, though, Frank Gore will have to have a huge 100+ yards, 2+ touchdown game, and Josh Allen will have to keep the ball out of the Ravens’ hands and find a way to connect on at least two touchdowns through the air.
The Buffalo Bills will win this one because their stellar defense will have had enough time to figure out how to stop (or at least slow down) Lamar Jackson, and if they can do that they have a chance of winning in the end.
Ravens vs Bills – Who Will Win?
The Baltimore Ravens will win this game by at least a field goal, Lamar Jackson’s rushing style will be too difficult for event he Bills’ excellent defense to shut down.
The Green Men of WSN’s Picks and Best Bets Podcast predict the Ravens will win this one thanks to their offense.
My prediction for the final score is Ravens 27, Bills 24
Baltimore Ravens vs Buffalo Bills Odds
|Sportsbook||Ravens -5.5||Bills +5.5|