UFC 264: Poirier vs McGregor III Early Odds & Predictions

Poirier vs McGregor

  • Top lightweight contenders Dustin Poirier and Conor McGregor have officially agreed to fight each other once again as it was officially announced that they will headline UFC 264
  • The odds right now have the two fighters evenly match as both hold a victory over one another. They last fought earlier this year in January at UFC 257
  • It has been speculated that Dustin Poirier turned down an opportunity to fight for the lightweight title in favor of taking the rubber match with Conor McGregor

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UFC 264: Poirier vs McGregor 3

Fighter Odds
Dustin Poirier -110
Conor McGregor -110

Odds from DraftKings. Get up to a $1,000 sign-up bonus at DraftKings today or check out more offers and promo codes for the best online sportsbooks.

How to Watch UFC 264: Poirier vs McGregor 3

UFC 264 Information
What UFC 264: Poirier vs McGregor 3
Where T-Mobile Arena, Paradise, Nevada
When Saturday, July 10, 10 PM EST
How to watch UFC Fight Pass, PPV, Watch on ESPN+ here!

Despite Some Animosity, the Trilogy Bout Has Been Signed

A trilogy fight between top lightweights Dustin Poirier and Conor McGregor has officially been announced.

Despite a squabble regarding Dustin Poirier’s charity The Good Fight and a promised donation from McGregor that once made this rubber match look like it was in jeopardy, UFC president Dana White announced that the fight was official and that it would take place in front of a live crowd.

The event is set to take place in front of a capacity crowd at the T-Mobile arena in Nevada. Tickets are already on sale and it is rumored that the price of some seats have already soared north of $10-thousand.

A Rubber Match at Lightweight

The first time these two athletes did battle in a cage was back on September 27, 2014 at UFC 174 – a time when both Poirier and McGregor were competing in the featherweight division. Both men entered the octagon riding a three-fight UFC winning streak but it was McGregor who came out on top in their first meeting – earning a first-round TKO over Poirier.

Both men went their separate ways, with Poirier moving up to the lightweight division immediately following the loss to McGregor. Conor would stay at featherweight and eventually win the 145-pound title.

Eventually, the paths of these two would cross again and it was announced that the two would have a rematch against one another – this time at 155-pounds. Now both superstars, the bout headlined UFC 257 – the first pay-per-view card of the 2021 calendar year – despite not being a title fight.

Dustin Poirier was coming off of a big bounce-back win entering this contest. After failing to capture the undisputed lightweight title from Khabib Nurmagomedov, Poirier got back in the win column with an impressive unanimous decision victory over Dan Hooker in what was deemed fight of the night.

McGregor was heading into the rematch following a win as well. He had returned to the sport after a long absence to TKO Donald Cerrone in the first round of their main event at UFC 246. He entered the rematch with Poirier having not fought in over a year.

The outcome in the rematch would be significantly different from the first, as Dustin Poirier chipped away at McGregor in the first round and eventually finished him via TKO in the second, earning performance of the night bonus.

This third (and potentially final) bout between the two has officially been scheduled to be a lightweight fight despite a short-lived campaign by Poirier to have the fight at 170-pounds.

Dustin Poirier vs Conor McGregor – Lightweight Division

Dustin Poirier (-110)

What’s at Stake?

First, and foremost, is legacy. The winner of this bout will have the edge over the other and in the division. If Poirier can say he defeated MMA’s biggest star twice, it would solidify him as one of the best fighters the sport has ever seen. The same goes for McGregor. If he can come back after a significant time away from the sport and following a loss and win this rubber match, there’d be no denying his abilities and he would jump right back into the title picture.

Speaking of titles, the winner of this bout is likely to receive the next shot at the title – especially if it’s Poirier. It is widely speculated that Poirier turned down a shot at the vacant lightweight title in order to participate in a third bout with McGregor. Should he win again, there is nothing left for him in the lightweight division other than being champion.

A win for McGregor would likely mean the same. He currently sits outside the top-six in the division, but a win over Poirier (plus his star power) would be more than enough for him to earn a chance at regaining the UFC lightweight championship.

The Current State of the UFC Lightweight Division

Speaking of the UFC lightweight division, what does it look like these days?

Following his title defense over Justin Gaethje last October, Khabib Nurmagomedov stunned the MMA world when he announced his retirement. Despite this announcement, months went by with Dana White insistent that he could get Khabib to fight again – ergo the title was never vacated (this is arguably why Poirier vs McGregor 2 was not for the title).

Only one month ago, Dana White conceded and announced that not only was Khabib retired and that the title was vacated, but that top contenders Charles Oliveira and Michael Chandler would headline UFC 262 for the championship.

Arguably the toughest and most entertaining division in the UFC, the top-ten also includes former interim champions Justin Gaethje and Tony Ferguson, former UFC lightweight champion Rafael dos Anjos, and rising star Beneil Dariush. There is never any shortage of talent in the 155-pound division.

Heading into Poirier vs McGregor 3, Poirier is still ranked as the number-one contender in the division as McGregor dropped to number-six.

The UFC 264 Card Currently

Barring no injuries or illnesses, the UFC 264 card looks as follows:


Dustin Poirier (-110) vs Conor McGregor (-110) – Lightweight Division

Gilbert Burns (+120) vs Stephen Thompson (-148) – Welterweight Division

Currently Rumored:

Jessica Eye vs Jennifer Maia – Women’s Flyweight Division

Ryan Hall vs Ilia Topuria – Featherweight Division

Tai Tuivasa vs Greg Hardy – Heavyweight Division

Jerome Rivera vs Zhalgas Zhumagulov – Flyweight Division

Omari Akhmedov vs Brad Tavares – Middleweight Division

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Ryan Bristlon

Expert on UFC

Ryan Bristlon is a Canadian writer currently residing in Hamilton, Ontario. He studied print and broadcast journalism at Humber College and has been a lifelong fan of the sport of hockey and the NHL.

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