UFC 257: Poirier vs McGregor II Predictions, Odds & Picks

Poirier vs Mcgregor II

  • A rematch years in the making, two former featherweights meet once again as lightweights in the main event of UFC 257
  • The co-main event will also feature two of the best lightweights in the world: Dan Hooker and Michael Chandler
  • This event marks the third and final event within one week spent in Abu Dhabi on UFC’s Fight Island

UFC 257: Poirier vs McGregor II Odds

Odds from DraftKings Sportsbook.

FighterOdds
Dustin Poirier+230
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Conor McGregor-286
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FighterOdds
Dan Hooker-143
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Michael Chandler+115
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FighterOdds
Jessica Eye+100
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Joanne Calderwood-125
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FighterOdds
Matt Frevola+137
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Ottman Azaitar-175
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FighterOdds
Marina Rodriguez+250
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Amanda Ribas-335
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DraftKings UFC 257 Promo

UFC 257 Poirier vs McGregor 2 Picks & Predictions

Our picks:

Dustin Poirier vs Conor McGregor – Lightweight Division

Dustin Poirier (+230)

Dan Hooker vs Michael Chandler – Lightweight Division

Dan Hooker (-143)

Jessica Eye vs Joanne Calderwood – Women’s Flyweight Division

Joanne Calderwood (-125)

Matt Frevola vs Ottman Azaitar – Lightweight Division

Ottman Azaitar (-175)

Marina Rodriguez vs Amanda Ribas – Women’s Strawweight Division

Amanda Ribas (-335)

How to Watch UFC 257 Poirier vs McGregor 2

UFC 257 Event Information
WhereEtihad Arena, Yas Island, Abu Dhabi
WhenSaturday, January 23, 2021, 10 PM EST
How to watchUFC Fight Pass, PPV, ESPN+

Dustin Poirier vs Conor McGregor Lightweight Division

Dustin PoirierTALE OF THE TAPEConor McGregor
31Age32
5 ft. 9 in.Height5 ft. 9 in.
72 in.Reach74 in.
26-6, 1 no-contestRecord22-4

Dustin “The Diamond” Poirier

Without a doubt, Dustin Poirier has had one of the most successful careers in the UFC lightweight division and has beaten some of the best fighters to ever fight in the promotion.

“The Diamond” joined the UFC in 2011 as a featherweight and had wins over a young Max Holloway and Diego Brandao. He had a 16-4 record heading into UFC 178 where he was matched up against Conor McGregor, who was also fighting as a featherweight at the time. Unfortunately for Poirier, he was defeated in the first-round by McGregor via TKO. Following the loss, Poirier moved up to the lightweight division and hasn’t looked back.

Since joining the 155-pound division, Poirier has gone 10-2 with one no-contest. He has performance bonuses in that time – five of them being the fight of the night honors. He defeated former champions in Anthony Pettis and Eddie Alvarez as well as snapped Max Holloway’s incredible 12-fight winning streak in a bout for the interim lightweight title.

Unfortunately, Dustin Poirier would suffer defeat in the bout to unify his interim title with champion Khabib Nurmagomedov’s undisputed championship at UFC 242. Poirier was submitted in the third round. However, he had a big bounce-back performance against Dan Hooker last June. He defeated Hooker via unanimous decision in a fight of the night. He has not fought since as he and the UFC were working on a new contract. This fight against McGregor will be the first fight on his new deal.

Ranked as number two in the lightweight rankings and number-seven in the pound-for-pound rankings, Poirier’s career stretches back to 2009. The Louisiana native spends his time training with the renowned American Top Team gym in Coconut Creek, Florida. He holds a black belt in Brazilian jiu-jitsu under Tim Credeur.

He will be at a two-inch height disadvantage when he steps into the octagon Saturday night.

“Notorious” Conor McGregor

The nickname of “Notorious” sums up Conor McGregor in and out of the cage, but we’ll focus on the former. Joining the UFC in 2013, McGregor went on a seven-fight winning streak that saw him defeat Max Holloway, Dustin Poirier and capture the featherweight title from  Jose Aldo in just 13-seconds.

He wouldn’t defend the title, however, opting to move up to welterweight to fight Nate Diaz. McGregor would suffer his first loss in the UFC at UFC 196 where Diaz went on to submit him in the second round. Instead of returning to featherweight, McGregor opted to rematch Diaz at UFC 202, this time defeating the younger Diaz brother by unanimous decision.

Following the second Diaz fight, McGregor still did not return to featherweight. He was granted a title shot against lightweight champion Eddie Alvarez for an attempt to become the first to hold two titles in different weight classes simultaneously. He didn’t disappoint as he made it look easy against Alvarez in the main event of UFC 205, earning a TKO victory in the second round.

And he wouldn’t defend that lightweight title either as McGregor took a hiatus from the UFC to fight (and lose against) boxing legend Floyd Mayweather. Upon his return to the UFC in 2018, he was granted an immediate title shot against the new lightweight champion Khabib Nurmagomedov. He was ultimately submitted in the fourth-round in a fight now infamous for the post-fight melee between the fighters and their camps. McGregor would take another hiatus from the sport, not returning until January 2020.

McGregor took on Donald Cerrone at 170-pounds at UFC 246 and defeated him in 40-seconds via TKO. Not only has McGregor not fought since, but it should be noted that he hasn’t made the weight cut down to 155-pounds since October 2018.

He is one-year older than Poirier and has been significantly less active over the past several years.

Wise Kracks UFC 257 Pick

If you don’t already follow our weekly podcast Wise Kracks you should check it out.

Professional sports bettor Bill Krackomberger and his co-host Jon Orlando share their best sports betting tips every week and give out free picks for our listeners.

This week, UFC superfan Jon Orlando gives out his UFC 257 pick. 

Dan Hooker vs Michael Chandler Lightweight Division

Dan HookerTALE OF THE TAPEMichael Chandler
30Age34
6 ft.Height5 ft. 8 in.
75 in.Reach71 in.
20-9Record21-5

Dan “The Hangman” Hooker

Dan Hooker fought twice in 2020, going 1-1. However, both fights were deemed fight of the night and both fights were in contention for the fight of the year. There is no question that when Dan Hooker steps into the octagon, he comes to the game and ready to fight.

In February 2020, Hooker took on Paul Felder and defeated him by a narrow split-decision. The victory marked Hooker’s third win in a row and he was granted a fight against a top-five contender for his next bout. Last summer, Hooker took on Dustin Poirier but was ultimately outclassed on the feet and beaten by a unanimous decision.

Hooker has been fighting since 2009 and currently trains with two well-respected gyms in Tiger Muay Thai in Phuket, Thailand as well as City Kickboxing in New Zealand under head coach Eugene Bareman. He boasts a purple belt in Brazilian jiu-jitsu and is currently ranked as the sixth-best lightweight in the division.

“Iron” Michael Chandler

Michael Chandler may be a new name to some UFC fans out there as this Saturday will mark his octagon debut. Chandler has spent much of his career fighting for Bellator and is a former three-time lightweight champion with the promotion.

After losing his title via TKO to “Pitbull” Patricio Freire in May of 2019, Chandler went on to win his last two fights in Bellator, both by knockout, against Sidney Outlaw and former UFC lightweight champion Benson Henderson. The Henderson fight took place in August 2020. Chandler also served as a backup for the Khabib/Gaethje lightweight title fight for the UFC but ultimately wasn’t needed.

Fighting since 2009, Michael Chandler is mostly known for his grappling abilities, boasting NCAA division I all-American wrestling credentials. He currently trains out of Florida with Sanford MMA.

There will be a noticeable four-inch height disadvantage for Chandler against Hooker as well as a four-inch disadvantage in the reach department.

Jessica Eye vs Joanne Calderwood Women’s Flyweight Division

Jessica EyeTALE OF THE TAPEJoanne Calderwood
34Age34
5 ft. 6 in.Height5 ft. 6 in.
66 in.Reach66 in.
15-8, 1 no-contestRecord14-5

Jessica “Evil” Eye

Jessica Eye has had a bit of a streaky UFC career. After a four-fight losing streak that stretched throughout 2015 and 2016, Eye turned things around to put together a three-fight winning streak through all of 2018. The wins granted her a title shot against flyweight champion Valentina Shevchenko in 2019 – about that she lost via gnarly head-kick knockout.

She’s fought twice since then, going 1-1 with a decision win over Viviane Araujo at UFC 245 and a unanimous decision loss to Cynthia Calvillo last summer. She has not fought since the Calvillo fight in June 2020. We should also note that Eye missed weight for both of these contests.

Fighting since 2008, Eye spends her time training with Xtreme Couture MMA in Las Vegas. Known for her boxing, Eye was called “one of the best strikers in the women’s division” in 2015 by Fox Sports. She is currently ranked as the seventh-best women’s flyweight in the division.

Joanne “JoJo” Calderwood

Scottish fighter Joanne Calderwood was seen as one of the next top contenders for champion Valentina Shevchenko following back-to-back wins over Kalindra Faria and Ariane Lipski. However, a loss to Katlyn Chookagian slowed her train down, and since that loss has gone just 1-1 for the UFC. She defeated Andrea Lee by split-decision at UFC 242 in 2019. Last year, she fought only once, in a losing effort against Jennifer Maia, who submitted her with an armbar.

Fighting since 2012, “JoJo” is a former professional kickboxer with a 19-2 record. Known for her muay thai style, she currently trains with Syndicate MMA under coaches James Doolan and Paul Mcveigh. She also holds a blue belt in Brazilian jiu-jitsu. She is ranked right behind Eye in the flyweight division as number-eight.

It should be noted that we don’t often see two competitors enter the cage at equal height and with equal reach. Two strikers with equal in physicality make for a tough choice. However, Calderwood is the more experienced grappler.

Matt Frevola vs Ottman Azaitar Lightweight Division

Matt FrevolaTALE OF THE TAPEOttman Azaitar
30Age30
5 ft. 9 in.Height5 ft. 8 in.
71 in.Reach71 in.
8-1-1Record13-0

Matt “The Steamrolla” Frevola

Matt Frevola joined the UFC as an undefeated fighter following his appearance on the Dana White Contender Series. He lost his debut bout against Polo Reyes by knockout. Since then, he hasn’t lost another bout but he’s been in some very close contests including a draw against Landa Vannata as well as a split-decision win over Luis Pena in his most recent fight, which took place in October 2019.

This will be Frevola’s first fight in over a year. He had one bout canceled due to a positive COVID-19 test on one of his cornermen and had another bout canceled last year due to an injury.

Frevola is a grappler with a high ceiling as he trains with both Matt Serra and the Serra-Longo Fight Team as well as with the Gracie Tampa South team. He currently holds a brown belt in Brazilian jiu-jitsu under Matt Arroyo. The New York native is currently unranked.

Ottman “The Bulldozer” Azaitar

What Ottman Azaitar lacks in UFC experience he makes up for in overall experience. Having only fought twice in the UFC, Azaitar had 11 professional fights under his belt before joining the promotion. He debuted for the UFC in September 2019 at UFC 242 where he knocked out Teemu Packalen in the first round. He followed that performance with a first-round TKO victory over Khama Worthy last September. Both wins earned him performance of the night bonuses.

Born in Germany, Azaitar still trains in his home country with the Jupps Fight Team. He has been fighting professionally since 2014 and is the younger brother of UFC fighter Abu Azaitar. He is a former Brave CF lightweight champion. He has ten KO and two submission wins across his 13-fight career.

Marina Rodriguez vs Amanda Ribas Women’s Strawweight Division

Marina RodriguezTALE OF THE TAPEAmanda Ribas
33Age27
5 ft. 7 in.Height5 ft. 5 in.
67 in.Reach66 in.
12-1-2Record10-1

Marina Rodriguez

Marina Rodriguez first came into the eyes of UFC fans on the Contender Series in April 2018 where she won her bout on the show via the first-round TKO. She debuted in the UFC against Randa Markos and the two fought to a majority draw. She would win her next two in a row by unanimous decision against Jessica Aguilar and Tecia Torres before fighting to another draw, this time with Cynthia Calvillo in 2019.

Rodriguez fought her most recent bout in the summer of 2020 against Carla Esparza. However, Rodriguez would lose the bout via a very narrow split-decision.

The Brazilian fighter has been fighting since 2015 and has five KO wins to her name. Training out of Brazil with Thai Brasil and AS Team, Rodriguez holds a purple belt in Brazilian jiu-jitsu as well as a dark blue with black tip belt in muay thai. She trains under coaches Alexandre de Souza and Marcio Malko. She is the number-six ranked strawweight in the division.

Amanda Ribas

Amanda Ribas has been undefeated since joining the UFC in 2018, winning four-straight fights for the promotion on her way to being named WSN women’s strawweight fighter of 2020. Since joining the UFC, Ribas has submitted Emily Whitmire, handed Mackenzie Dern her first professional loss, beaten Randa Markos, and most recently submitted Paige VanZant in a flyweight bout last summer.

Also born in Brazil, Ribas trains with American Top Team in Florida. She has been fighting professionally since 2014 and currently boasts black belts in Brazilian jiu-jitsu and judo. She enters the octagon Saturday as the number-10 ranked strawweight in the UFC.

Ribas is the largest betting favorite on the UFC 257 main card.

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Ryan Bristlon

Expert on UFC

Ryan Bristlon is a Canadian writer currently residing in Hamilton, Ontario. He studied print and broadcast journalism at Humber College and has been a lifelong fan of the sport of hockey and the NHL.



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