With the Baltimore Orioles offense struggling to make contact, Paul Skenes has the opportunity to thrive as the betting favorite for the NL Cy Young award excels at generating Whiffs. Before their opening pitch takes place, we focus our attention on the matchup between the Milwaukee Brewers and Texas Rangers as a pair of productive arms are set to take the mound.
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After winning the NL Rookie of the Year award last year, Paul Skenes has carried over his momentum into this season as the Pittsburgh Pirates ace is currently averaging a league leading ERA of 1.98, a FIP of 2.42, and a WHIP of 0.936. His dominance can be attributed to his high Whiff Rate as Skenes is also averaging less than one Hit Allowed and more than one Strikeout per Inning Pitched.
Heading into Wednesday’s contest against Baltimore, Skenes will have a great opportunity to strengthen his claim for the NL Cy Young award as he faces off against an Orioles offense who ranks near dead last in Contact Rate and in On Base Percentage. Especially when Skenes is surrounded by a productive back end as the Pirates rank above league average in Defensive Efficiency and in Fielding Percentage.
On the other side of the field, Tyler Wells is also in a position to get off to a hot start as he faces off against a Pirates offense who ranks below league average in the same previously mentioned offensive metrics. Expect Wells to exploit the Pirates struggles with getting on base as the Orioles pitcher takes the mound averaging an ERA of 3.60, a WHIP of 1.000, and less than one Hit Against per Inning Pitched.
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After a slow start to the year, the Milwaukee Brewers have turned into one of the top contenders for the World Series as they possess the best record in the overall standings and are a few wins away from securing the NL Central division title. Their resurgence on offense has played a major role in their success as their lineup ranks top-10 in Contact Rate, RBIs, Total Runs Scored, and in On Base Percentage.
Unfortunately for Milwaukee, negative regression looms large as they face off against the Arizona Diamondbacks Merrill Kelly who is averaging an ERA of 3.16, a WHIP of 1.041, and a FIP of 3.77. His back end also drastically reduces the amount of contact variance in his starts as the Texas Rangers defense leads the league in Defensive Efficiency.
As for Freddy Peralta, the Brewers pitcher draws a much more favorable assignment as he is set to battle it out against a Rangers offense who struggles with getting into scoring position. With Peralta averaging a WHIP of 1.071 and more than one Strikeout per Inning Pitched, expect the Rangers to continue to underwhelm in their efforts of getting on base and be held scoreless in the first inning.
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Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers - Kyle Freeland vs. Blake Snell - The reigning World Series champions have a great opportunity to open up the scoring in the first inning against Colorado as they face off against Kyle Freeland who is averaging an ERA of 5.10, a WHIP of 1.450, and a defense who ranks dead last in Fielding Percentage.
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Seattle Mariners - Michael McGreevy vs. Logan Gilbert - With Seattle’s offense ranking above league average in Contact Rate and in Slugger Percentage, expect the Mariners to get on base at a consistent rate as they face off against the St. Louis Cardinals Michael McGreevy who averages a FIP of 4.01 and over one Hit per inning.
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