Best NRFI Bets Today: Two Divisional NRFIs for Wednesday’s Slate of Games

Negative regression looms large over the Cincinnati Reds offense as they are set to battle it out against Paul Skenes who is currently listed as the heavy betting favorite to win the NL Cy Young award. Shortly before their opening pitch, we turn our attention towards the Tampa Bay Rays and Baltimore Orioles as Tyler Wells faces off against an offense who struggles with getting on base at a consistent rate.

Looking for more MLB betting insights? Check our selection of the Best MLB Home Run Props Today.

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Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds - Paul Skenes vs. Hunter Greene (6:40 PM, EST)

Under 0.5 Run (-170) at Hard Rock Bet Sportsbook

After winning the NL Rookie of the Year award last year, Paul Skenes has managed to elevate his level of play as the Pittsburgh Pirates ace is expected to hear his name called for the NL Cy Young award this season. Skenes has been in a tier of his own as he currently leads the NL in ERA, WHIP, and in FIP while averaging less than one Hit Allowed per Inning Pitched.

In Wednesday’s NL Central divisional matchup against Cincinnati, Skenes will have a great opportunity to build on his momentum as he faces off against a Reds offense who ranks below league average in Contact Rate and in On Base Percentage. Especially when Skenes is surrounded by a very productive back end as the Pirates defense ranks top-15 in Defensive Efficiency and in Fielding Percentage.

As for Hunter Greene, the Reds pitcher also has the opportunity to get off to a hot start as he faces off against a Pirates lineup who ranks near dead last in the same previously mentioned offensive metrics. With Greene averaging an ERA of 2.74, a WHIP of 0.925, and more than one Strikeout per Inning Pitched, expect the Reds ace to neutralize the Pirates top of their order and hold them scoreless in the first inning.

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Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles - Shane Baz vs. Tyler Wells (6:35 PM, EST)

Under 0.5 Run (-115) at Hard Rock Bet Sportsbook

Heading into the year, the Baltimore Orioles were projected to be one of the top contenders for the AL East division title as their clubhouse is full of talented young players. Unfortunately for the Orioles, their offense held them back from being competitive this season as their lineup ranks below league average in Team Total Hits, Total Runs Scored, RBIs, On Base Percentage, and in Slugger Percentage.

With the Orioles severely underwhelming on offense, Shane Baz is in a great position to thrive as the Tampa Bay Rays pitcher averages less than one Hit Against and more than one Strikeout per Inning Pitched. The Rays back end also helps reduce the amount of contact variance in his starts with their suffocating coverage as their defense ranks ninth overall in Defensive Efficiency.

On the other side of the field, the Rays offense have also underperformed as they rank equally as poor in On Base Percentage and in Slugger Percentage. Expect the Rays offense to continue to struggle with getting on base and in scoring position against Tyler Wells as the Orioles pitcher enters the contest averaging an ERA of 2.04, a WHIP of 0.623, and a FIP of 3.94.

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Best YRFI Bets Today

• Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians - Jack Flaherty vs. Tanner Bibee - With Tanner Bibee on the mound, the Detroit Tigers have a great opportunity to open up the scoring in the first inning of their contest against Cleveland as the Guardians pitcher averages a FIP of 4.41 while surrounded by a defense who ranks 27th in Fielding Percentage.

• Colorado Rockies vs. Seattle Mariners - Tanner Gordon vs. Luis Castillo - Expect the Seattle Mariners top of their order to get on base at a consistent rate against Colorado on Wednesday night as they face off against Tanner Gordon who is currently averaging an ERA of 6.00, a FIP of 4.65, and nearly two runners on base per inning.

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