FIBA World Cup 2019 Final: Argentina vs Spain - Predictions, Odds, and How to Watch

How to Watch

What: Final, Argentina vs Spain

Where: Wukesong Sport Arena, Beijing, China

When: Sunday, 15 September 2019, 8:00 AM EST

How (TV): ESPN+

Argentina (Away)

Head Coach: Sergio Hernandez {Argentina}

Assistant Coach(es): Silvio Santander {Argentina}, Maximiliano Seigorman {Argentina}

Record: 7-0

Projected Starting Five: (G) Facundo Campazzo – (G) Nicolas Brussino – (F) Patrick Garino – (F) Luis Scola – (C) Marcos Delia

Last match against France

Top Performers

  • F Luis Scola – 19.3 PPG | 8.1 RPG | .458 3P%
  • G Facundo Campazzo – 13.6 PPG | 4.6 RPG | 7.7 APG
  • F Gabriel Deck – 12.4 PPG | 3.4 RPG | 1.3 SPG

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Argentina refuses to let the world forget that it is a power in the world of basketball. Not only have they taken care of business against lesser sides, but they’ve overcome the odds and taken down giants.

Argentina were brilliant in their last game against France, who were coming off of an inspired win against the USA. With all the momentum against them, Argentina won every single quarter to take down the French giants.

Steps away from the ultimate goal, Argentina runs into some old foes in Spain. Luis Scola once again faces off with a Gasol, but this time the next generation in Pau’s younger brother Marc. Scola and Campazzo are focused on leading their team to World Cup glory.

Spain (Home)

Head Coach: Sergio Scariolo {Toronto Raptors}

Assistant Coach(es): Luis Guil {Saga Ballooners}, Angel Sanchez {Spain}

Record: 7-0

Projected Starting Five: (G) Ricky Rubio – (G) Rudy Fernandez – (F) Juancho Hernangomez – (F) Pierre Oriola – (C) Marc Gasol

Last match against Australia

Top Performers

  • G Ricky Rubio – 15.9 PPG | 6.4 APG | 4.3 RPG
  • C Marc Gasol – 14.4 PPG | 5.3 RPG | 3.7 APG
  • F Juan Hernangomez – 10.4 PPG | 5.4 RPG | .435 3P%

Spain is still at the top of the game when it comes to performing on the world stage. They’ve outplayed most of their opponents, but they had to gut one out in a gritty match against the Australians last round.

While they didn’t compete with the Australians well on the glass, they forced their counterparts into terribly difficult shots which led to a Spanish victory. Keeping the likes of Patty Mills and Joe Ingles in their pocket is a great trend for their coming match against Argentina.

Argentina are very much like the Spanish in how they play. Excellent ball movement and a suffocating defensive gameplan. For Spain to succeed they’ll need to win the small battles and get more contribution out of their bench pieces.

What’s At Stake?

This is the final match of the 2019 FIBA World cup, with Argentina and Spain fighting for the honor of being named the best basketball nation in the world.

A win for Spain would give them their second World Cup win in their history. A loss would award them their first silver medal placing.

A win for Argentina would award them their second World Cup victory in their history. A loss would give them their second silver medal placing.

Argentina’s Defence Must Stay Strong

While all of the pundits will glow over the performance of thirty-nine-year-old forward Luis Scola, their team efforts on the defensive end are what have powered them to victory. When Argentina faced off against France, their defense was in fine form.

The same French team that beat the USA was held to 39% shooting from the field overall. Evan Fournier and Rudy Gobert, France’s two stars, were held to only 6-17 shooting. Gobert was held to a mere three points, despite collecting 11 rebounds.

The efforts of Scola, Deck, and Campazzo on defense were as strong as their contributions on offense. They’ll need the same to stop a Spain side that sports more efficient shooting and ball movement than the French.

Spanish Role Players Have One Last Chance

Spain don’t quite have one player that can absolutely take over a game. While Rubio and Gasol have been leaders to this point, there hasn’t been much to suggest that the bench have the consistency to support them.

Sergio Llull came off the bench to score 19, but is was on a rather inefficient 6-16 from the floor. Meanwhile, starter Rudy Fernandez has much more expected of him, as he only scored two points on a shocking four attempts in 39 minutes against the Australians.

Rubio and Gasol can’t do it all against Argentina. Fernandez, Claver, Llull, and the Hernangomez brothers must all chip in to take down Argentina. If it is up to their capable two-man game, Spain may run out of steam before the clock is up.

Argentine Shooters Need to Shine

Argentina are an efficient scoring team. However, in order to overcome the dangerous interior defense of the Spanish, they will need to keep their opponents honest from the three-point line.

Spain have one of the tournaments premier defenders manning the center position for them. Marc Gasol is a former NBA Defensive Player of the Year and has shown his quality all tournament long. The Argentine’s will have to draw him out and take advantage of his limited foot speed on the perimeter.

Fortunately for Argentina, they have capable outside options in point guard Facundo Campazzo, wing shooters Nicolas Brussino and Nicolas Laprovittola, and even mainstay Luis Scola. Their ability to move the ball is noted, but if they can’t find their rhythm early it’ll be a long night for them.

Spain’s Shooting Is Hurting Them

Thank goodness for Marc Gasol in the paint and a surprising performance from Sergio Llull off the bench. Those two shot 17-35 in their last match against Australia, the rest of the team, save for Rubio, shot an awful 10-25 for the game.

Spain is not doing particularly well inside or outside as of late. What is powering them through is their defensive ability. Unfortunately, Argentina’s high-powered offense will be tough to stop on all fronts.

Going 11-37 from three in their last game is not promising. Though it was an overtime thriller, those averages aren’t something coach Sergio Scariolo wants to follow into the next game. Efficiency will be key.

Spain Roster Notes

Spain has no roster changes of note.

Argentina Roster Notes

Argentina has no roster changes of note.

X-Factors: Luis Scola (ARG) vs Marc Gasol (ESP)

In matches like this, it comes down to your greatest stars and how they can lead their team to victory. A former Toronto Raptor in Luis Scola and a current Toronto Raptor in Marc Gasol face-off in one of the most anticipated World Cup Finals ever.

(F) Luis Scola

 

 

SeasonAgeTeamGamesMPPTSREBASTFG%3P%
201939ARG728.919.38.11.7.469.458

 

It has to be said again, at 39 years old Luis Scola is still playing at a world-class level. As the tournament has gone on, Scola’s contributions have grown more significant. Since the knock-out stages began, Scola has been near unstoppable.

When facing off against two of the world’s toughest young centers in Nikola Jokic and Rudy Gobert, Scola showed that class is eternal. He scored 20 and 28 respectively against the NBA stars while also knocking down two and three three-pointers in each match.

He’ll look to slay his last NBA giant of the tournament when he takes on Spanish legend Marc Gasol. The difference between him and the others is that Gasol is much savvier than the other two. Scola will play the same inside-outside game against Gasol but will have to capitalize early as Gasol is not as likely to make mistakes.

(C) Marc Gasol

 

 

SeasonAgeTeamGamesMPPTSREBASTFG%3P%
201934ESP729.014.45.33.7.449.222

 

Marc Gasol’s role on offense has been rather understated for the Spanish throughout the tournament. Playing second to point guard Ricky Rubio, Gasol has made the smaller plays in order to maintain his teams success.

Most importantly, his ability to anchor the Spanish defense has been brilliant. While Fernandez and Rubio always put in their best effort, having the size and reliability of Gasol behind them has helped Spain to succeed.

He will need to provide more offensively though if they want to outplay their Argentine opponents. While quieter in the earlier rounds, Gasol exploded against a paint-savvy Australian side with 33 points on 11-19 shooting.

Argentina at Spain – Predictions and Odds

The latest odds for the FIBA World Cup Final are provided by 888Sport NJ and DraftKings.

Good luck!

Point Spread

SportsbookSpain

-3.5

Argentina

+3.5

888Sport NJ-114-107
DraftKings-114-107

Money Line

SportsbookSpainArgentina
888Sport NJ-177+143
DraftKings-177+143

Total Points

SportsbookOver

154

Under

154

888Sport NJ-113-108
DraftKings-113-108

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