Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks Predictions, Odds & Picks
- The Houston Rockets look to stave off the seventh-place Dallas Mavericks in their opening match of the season.
- Both teams are riddled with injuries or absences, leading to a very interesting matchup.
- The season series between the Rockets and the Mavericks is 1-1.
Rockets vs Mavericks Odds
The odds for this match are provided by DraftKings Sportsbook. Click on the odds below to head to DraftKings and place a bet.
|Team||Point Spread||Total Points||Money Line|
Rockets vs Mavericks Predictions and Picks
A winner in this game will be tough to pick. Both are incredibly strong in similar facets of the game. We are giving the edge to the Houston Rockets, whose star power will likely overcome the hobbled Mavericks.
WSN Picks: Houston Rockets (-105)
How to Watch Rockets vs Mavericks
Rockets vs Mavericks Information
|What||Houston Rockets at Dallas Mavericks|
|Where||The Arena (WWOS), Orlando, FL|
|When||Friday, July 31, 2020; 9:00 PM EST|
|How to Watch||ESPN, Fox Sports Southwest, AT&T Sportsnet – Southwest/ESPN 103.3 FM, Univision Radio, KBME/KTRH/KEYH|
Houston Rockets (Away) Preview
Houston Rockets Away
|Head Coach:||Mike D’Antoni|
|Standing:||40-24 (6th in Western Conference, 10th Overall)|
|Form:||W (vs MIN) – L (vs ORL) – L (at CHA) – L (vs LAC)|
It is yet to be seen whether or not Mike D’Antoni’s offensive system can be sustainable in a Finals run, but they’ll be given an eight-game chance to test their strategies.
The Rockets have chosen to go incredibly small this season, opting to trade Clint Capela in favor of starting 6’5 PJ Tucker at the center position. It didn’t work against the Toronto Raptors in their first scrimmage, but it’ll be interesting to see how they’ll fare against a less interior-oriented Mavericks squad.
Houston Rockets Roster Notes
(G) Eric Gordon – 29 July 2020 – Out (Ankle) – Gordon is expected to miss the next two weeks with a left ankle sprain, according to Shams Charania of The Athletic.
(F) Thabo Sefolosha – 1 July 2020 – Out (Undisclosed) – Sefolosha announced that he will not play in the NBA season restart in Orlando, according to Adrian Wojnarowski of ESPN.
(G-F) David Nwaba – 23 June 2020 – Out For Season (Achilles) – Nwaba is recovering from an Achilles injury and will not play in the NBA season restart in Orlando, according to Shams Charania of The Athletic.
Dallas Mavericks (Home) Preview
Dallas Mavericks Home
|Head Coach:||Rick Carlisle|
|Standing:||40-27 (7th in Western Conference, 13th Overall)|
|Form:||W (vs DEN) – L (at SAS) – L (vs IND) – W (vs MEM)|
The Dallas Mavericks impressed everybody before the season was suspended. After a dreadful 2018-2019 campaign, they are now in the playoff race, with plenty of ground on hopefuls.
It is no secret why the Mavericks have been so successful this season, it is due to the stellar play of star guard Luka Doncic. The 2019 NBA Rookie of the Year, Doncic has vaulted himself even higher with his play, earning his first All-Star appearance, and putting his name in the MVP conversation.
While strong, the Mavericks are not without their issues. Talented on attack, but mediocre on defence, the Mavericks will have to complete this season without some of their most crucial defenders in Dwight Powell, Courtney Lee, and Willie Cauley-Stein.
Dallas Mavericks Roster Notes
(C) Dwight Powell – 23 July 2020 – Out For Season (Achilles) – The Mavs announced that Powell will not play again this season.
(G) Jalen Brunson – 17 July 2020 – Out For Season (Shoulder) – The Mavericks announced that Brunson is recovering from surgery on his right shoulder. He will not play again this season.
(G) Courtney Lee – 27 June 2020 – Out (Calf) – Lee is dealing with a calf injury and it’s not clear if he will take part in the NBA restart in Orlando in late July.
(C) Willie Cauley-Stein – 25 June 2020 – Out (Calf) – Lee is dealing with a calf injury and it’s not clear if he will take part in the NBA restart in Orlando in late July.
What’s at Stake?
- A win for the Dallas Mavericks would bring them within half a game of the Houston Rockets, who are sixth in the Western Conference.
- A win for the Houston Rockets would win the fifth place in the Western Conference.
- The Houston Rockets lead the all-time series against the Dallas Mavericks. Over 181 games played, the Rockets have 97 wins to the Mavericks’ 84.
Will the Rockets be Exploited in the Paint?
The Beard looked ready to go tonight!
⤵️ Highlights pic.twitter.com/YLfwTkhyvH
— Houston Rockets (@HoustonRockets) July 25, 2020
Mike D’Antoni teams have always played an uptempo game, but only with this Houston Rockets team has he truly gone “all-in” on his game plan. When GM Daryl Morey traded away Clint Capela, the Rockets were the first to dive head first into “small ball” this season.
With 163 minutes played, the Rockets’ second most-played lineup consists of Robert Covington, James Harden, Danuel House, PJ Tucker, and Russell Westbrook. You’d be hard-pressed to even call one of those players a power forward, but so far it has worked. The lineup is +12.2 points per 100 possessions while they are on the court together.
Houston’s offence will not be an issue. But with their size, protecting the paint is a concern. If they can limit the Mavericks’ outside shooting, in order to capitalize on their own, they may be able to live with allowing an interior attack.
Live by the Three, Die by the Three
Luka Doncic with the spin & pass to Seth Curry for the three…sheesh pic.twitter.com/YBCQinLXm5
— Isaac Harris (@IsaacLHarris) July 24, 2020
The Dallas Mavericks have the league’s most efficient offense. Powered by a bevy of playmakers and a solid balance of finishers and shooters, Dallas is more than a one-man show led by Luka Doncic. Where they’ve shown success is in their ability to win by the three-point shot, or even lose by it.
In their 40 wins, the Mavericks have shot 39% from three and average 16 three-point field goals. In losses, their averages drop to 33% and 13 three-point field goals. On the defensive side, they allow slightly less three-point field-goals in wins than they do in losses – 11.6 to 12.3.
Limiting the Rockets’ attack from deep won’t be easy. Despite their defensive versatility, the Mavericks will be hard-pressed to stop a fluid offense like Houston’s. Usually adept at defending the rim with capable shot-blockers like Porzingis, Powell, Kleber, and Marjanovic, the Rockets will likely bypass them entirely with the three. To win this match, they’ll have to slow one of the deadliest three-point shooting teams.
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Christian Jope is a writer, social media strategist, and data analyst. A Queen’s University Alumni, Christian is an author and social media strategist with Raptors Cage, while also working closely with MLSE and Canada Basketball through community-driven events.