Tennessee Titans vs Baltimore Ravens: Predictions and Odds (AFC Divisional Round Playoffs)
Final score prediction is Ravens 27, Titans 17.
How to Watch: Titans vs Ravens
What: Tennessee Titans at Baltimore Ravens
When: Saturday, January 11 at 8:15 pm ET
Where: M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore, Maryland
How (TV): CBS
Titans vs Ravens – Point Spread
Titans +9.5, Ravens -9.5
Tennessee vs Baltimore – Game Preview
The second Saturday Divisional Round playoff game is an AFC matchup featuring two teams that are facing each other for the first time this season – Ryan Tannehill’s Patriot-beating Tennessee Titans and Lamar Jackson’s well-rested Baltimore Ravens, the game happening on January 11 at 8:15 pm on CBS.
The Titans are confident after they, as underdogs, beat and eliminated the Wild Card New England Patriots in Gillette Stadium last week, while the Ravens are well-rested and (mostly) healed up after enjoying their well-earned first-round playoff bye.
One of these teams features the best rushing attack in the league, while the other features the best running back in the NFL this season, so let’s take a quick look at how the Tennessee Titans and Baltimore Ravens match up with each other for this exciting AFC Divisional Round game.
For more on the Divisional Round, check out our video: NFL Playoffs Divisional Round Picks & Best Bets.
The 9-7-0 (1-0) Tennessee Titans
The Tennessee Titans can win big games against talented teams – during the regular season they beat both the New England Patriots and the Kansas City Chiefs – and that’s primarily because of their incredibly strong rushing attack led by the league’s leading running back, Derrick Henry, who is currently hot, hot, hot.
To beat the formerly unbeatable New England Patriots last week in the Wild Card round, Henry was able to carry the ball 34 times for 182 yards and a touchdown, helping quarterback Ryan Tannehill by establishing the team’s dominating run game early in the game.
Also helping the team find a road victory over the Patriots was the Titans defense that kept Tom Brady to just over 200 passing yards, no touchdowns and a rare interception, something Tennessee has been quite good at, their takeaway differential at +6 and their 23 total takeaways tied for 10th most in the league.
The 14-2-0 (0-0) Baltimore Ravens
The Baltimore Ravens’ offense is run-heavy and led by run-savvy Lamar Jackson, the speedy second-year quarterback who has basically re-invented how the Run Pass Option (RPO) offense is executed, thanks in huge part to his superb offensive coordinator Greg Roman and their brilliant head coach John Harbaugh.
Jackson shares his backfield with a powerful pair of running backs – Mark Ingram and Gus Edwards – who take turns with him evading tackles and extending plays, while rookie receiver Marquise “Hollywood” Brown has been making a deep threat name for himself as yet another offensive option.
Once again the Ravens have a top-5 defense, one that’s well-rested after the Wild Card bye and equally strong against both the pass and ground attack, but on Saturday they will have to contend with the Titans’ Henry, a rusher with the ability to evade (and bull rush through) tackles enough times to cause big plays and huge wins.
For more on Lamar Jackson read also: Who Will Be the 2019-2020 NFL MVP?
Titans vs Ravens – History
These two rivals have met 23 total times (including 3 postseason games), with Tennessee winning 11 of those times and Baltimore winning the other 12 games.
The last time these two teams played each other was last season in October when the Ravens traveled to Nashville and shut out the Titans by a score of 21-0.
The winner of this game will face either the Houston Texans or the Kansas City Chiefs on Sunday, January 19 at 3:05 pm in the Conference Championship round of the playoffs.
The loser, of course, goes home.
Questions to Answer
Who’s favored to win this Week 19 Titans-Ravens matchup?
Which team has a better offense? Defense? Special teams?
Which team’s quarterback is more likely to lead his team to victory?
We’re going to briefly compare the Titans and the Ravens next and attempt to answer those questions and more.
Offensive Stats Comparison
Tennessee Titans Overall Offense
- Ranked 12th overall in 2019
- Passing attack currently ranked 21st
- Rushing attack currently ranked 3rd
The Tennessee Titans looked a bit lost offensively at the beginning of the season, but they have turned themselves around once head coach Mike Vrabel benched Marcus Mariota and began starting his backup, Ryan Tannehill, whose 70.3 completion percentage proves the man can throw the ball accurately.
Which helps to offset the Titans’ main offensive weapon, Derrick Henry, who quietly became the league’s most productive runner, bypassing Cleveland Browns’ Nick Chubb in Week 17 by totaling 1,540 yards and 16 touchdowns, averaging 5.1 yards per carry.
The Titans’ passing game that’s currently ranked in the bottom third of the league could be at an even bigger disadvantage on Saturday since three of their wide receivers are listed as questionable due to injury – Cody Hollister (ankle), Adam Humphries (ankle) and Kalif Raymond (concussion).
Baltimore Ravens Overall Offense
- Ranked 2nd overall in 2019
- Passing attack currently ranked 27th
- Rushing attack currently ranked 1st
Lamar Jackson is one of those unique, once-in-a-lifetime talents that comes along and changes how the game of football is played, his unique style of hiding the ball until the last second confusing opponents and his incredible speed and football IQ baffling every team they have played.
Obviously their passing game could use some work – but the way the Ravens have been winning their games is by dominating time of possession with their multi-headed rushing attack, so the passing game (one that includes tight ends Nick Boyle and Mark Andrews) becomes secondary to their plan.
Even though the Ravens had the last two weeks to rest and recuperate, they are still affected by a few injuries, with soft-handed tight end Mark Andrews (ankle) and powerful running back Mark Ingram (calf) listed as questionable for this one, both game-time decisions.
Even though both teams have less than average passing attacks and closely-ranked run games, the Baltimore Ravens have averaged almost 70 more rushing yards per game than the Tennessee Titans did (mostly thanks to Lamar Jackson), so the Ravens will have the offensive advantage here.
Defensive Stats Comparison
Tennessee Titans Overall Defense
- Ranked 21st overall in 2019
- Passing defense currently ranked 24th
- Rushing defense currently ranked 12th
The Titans defense is ranked in the bottom third of the league and are better against the run than the pass, allowing the teams they play to average almost 21 points per game, with 14 total interceptions on the year and 43 quarterback sacks, tied for the 13th most sacks in the league at this point.
One Titans player who could help contain Jackson is linebacker Harold Landry, who leads the team with 9 total sacks, plus he has 14 quarterback hits, an interception, 2 passes defended, a forced fumble, 2 recovered fumbles and 68 total tackles (12 for a loss).
Possible bad news for the Titans’ defensive squad – linebacker Jayon Brown is listed as questionable for Saturday’s game due to a shoulder injury that he is still trying to rehabilitate, right now a game-time decision.
Baltimore Ravens Overall Defense
- Ranked 4th overall in 2019
- Passing defense currently ranked 6th
- Rushing defense currently ranked 5th
The Baltimore Ravens are solid on defense – they have only let opponents score an average of 17.6 points per game (third lowest in the league) and they’ve totaled 13 interceptions and have sacked opposing quarterbacks 37 times.
Keep your eyes on Ravens outside linebacker Matt Judon, who leads the team in sacks with 9.5 of them, plus he has 33 quarterback hits, 4 forced fumbles and 54 total tackles (14 of those for a loss).
One of the other bigger playmakers in the Ravens’ secondary might not be able to suit up for this one, with safety Earl Thomas III still dealing with a knee issue, not good news given that three other Baltimore safeties have already been placed on the injured reserve.
The Ravens have a big defensive advantage over the Titans on both sides of the ball, though how they will do against Derrick Henry, who’s on fire right now, remains to be seen.
Titans vs Ravens – Final Game Analysis
Why Will the Titans Win this Game?
The Tennessee Titans will win this game if Derrick Henry has one of his typical outings – where the defense knows he’s about to run, but nevertheless can do little to stop him as he brutes his way through tackles and past defenders, preferably with at least three big runs thrown in at various points of the game.
Quarterback Ryan Tannehill will, of course, have to play the game of his career, but that will be made a whole lot easier if his wide receivers are able to heal up and suit up in time (see above), otherwise it will be far too easy for the Ravens to isolate against Henry.
The Titans defense can win this game for the team if they can do what the last 12 teams that played the Ravens couldn’t, which is figuring out a way to slow down Lamar Jackson, or at the very least guess correctly which player on his offense has the ball at any given moment, Jackson’s ability to disguise his handoffs now becoming legendary.
Why Will the Ravens Win this Game?
Lamar Jackson and his Baltimore Ravens will beat the Titans the same way they have beaten the last 12 teams they’ve played – they’ll simply baffle them with their unique version of the RPO and then outscore them by the end of the game (they average 33 points per outing, a tough total to top).
Meanwhile, Baltimore’s 5th ranked rush defense will stay busy slowing down Derrick Henry, at least enough to keep him from doing too much damage or from overusing the clock thereby keeping Jackson and his Ravens offense off the field.
The Baltimore Ravens will win this game because they are better at all three phases of the game, plus they’re playing at home, plus they have the possible league MVP under center in Lamar Jackson, and so far only two teams (early in the regular season) have figured out how to beat them.
Titans vs Ravens – Who Will Win?
The Baltimore Ravens will win this game and beat the spread – they are playing like Super Bowl Champions already, so it’s tough to imagine that they can’t get by these Tennessee Titans, especially at home.
The Green Men of WSN’s Picks and Best Bets Podcast predict the Baltimore Ravens will win this one.
My prediction for the final score is Ravens 27, Titans 17.
Tennessee Titans vs Baltimore Ravens Odds