Atlanta Braves vs Los Angeles Dodgers Predictions, Odds & Picks (October 12)

Dodgers vs Braves 2020 10 12

  • Matchup of aces
  • Leadoff battle
  • X-factor on both sides

Braves vs Dodgers Odds

TeamRun SpreadTotalMoney Line
Atlanta Braves+1.5 -165O 8 -118+135
Los Angeles Dodgers-1.5 +138U 8 -104-157

 

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Trends

Braves are 5-0 in their last five overall

Braves are 4-0 in their last four games following an off day

Braves are 5-0 in their last five vs a right-handed starter

Braves are 13-4 in their last 17 vs the NL West

Braves are 16-5 in their last 21 vs a team with a winning record

Braves are 2-6 in their last eight playoff games as an underdog

Braves are 14-3 in their last 17 games with the line set between 7.0-8.5

Under is 4-1 in Braves last five overall

Under is 4-1 in Braves last five vs team with a winning record

Over is 12-4-1 in Braves last 17 playoff games as an underdog

Over is 9-3-1 in this meeting with Los Angeles as the home team

Dodgers are 5-0 in their last five playoff games as the favorite

Dodgers are 6-1 in their last seven games vs a team with a win percentage above .600

Dodgers are 20-8 in their last 28 vs a left-handed starter

Dodgers are 15-2 in their last 17 overall

How to watch Braves vs Dodgers

Braves vs Dodgers Information
WhatAtlanta Braves at Los Angeles Dodgers
WhereGlobe Life Field, Arlington, TX
WhenMonday, October 12, 2020, 8:08 PM EST
How to WatchFOX

Battle of the Next Generation

Two of the brightest young pitchers in all of baseball will try to give their team the early advantage in this National League Championship Series when the Dodgers’ Walker Buehler goes head-to-head with the Braves’ Max Fried.

Buehler is the household name of these two, although he just turned 26 in July. Still, he’s been there done that for Los Angeles, pitching in each of the last three postseasons including in the 2018 World Series.

Buehler hasn’t been great this postseason, but he’s battled his way through two starts, lasting just long enough to bridge to the bullpen and help the Dodgers come away with victories in both starts. He went four innings in each start – against the Brewers and Padres – giving up five total hits, three total runs, and striking out eight in each appearance.

Fried, also 26 years old, has appeared in each of the last three postseasons as well, although he hadn’t started a game until this year. He was sensational in that first start, shutting out Cincinnati for seven innings, giving up just six hits and striking out five in the win.

Fried won’t win the NL Cy Young Award, but he certainly made a good case for it, going a perfect 7-0 in his 11 starts, with a career-best 2.25 ERA and 1.08 WHIP.

Leadoff Hitters Are Crucial

The Braves have one of the best offenses in baseball. They rank first in on-base percentage (.349), and second in total runs (348), batting average (.268) and slugging percentage (.483).

The only offense that could match them in the regular season was the Dodgers. Los Angeles ranks first in baseball in runs (349) and slugging percentage (.483), fifth in on-base percentage (.338) and 11th in batting average (.256).

Each team was able to do this because of the depth of the lineups, without question, however, the tone is set at the top of the order: Ronald Acuña Jr. and Mookie Betts

Acuña Jr. already leads the Braves franchise in leadoff home runs (10) and can change the game with one swing at any time. He hit .250 this year, with 14 home runs, 29 RBI and a .987 OPS despite playing just 46 games.

Betts is probably the best all-around player in baseball not named Mike Trout. Betts ranked in the top-30 of baseball in almost every major offensive category including batting average (.292), home runs (16), RBI (39) and OPS (.927). Betts has seven hits in five postseason games thus far including five extra-base hits and four RBI.

X-Factor to Watch

There are so many big names playing in this game. Each team has five to six players who could be the best offensive weapon on another team. So who are the two players to watch in game one?

For the Braves, it’s Adam Duvall. Duvall was tied for seventh in all of baseball with 16 home runs and ranked in the top 50 in RBIs (33) and OPS (.833). However, he has struggled through five games in the postseason – 2-for-20 with one double, one home run, and a team-high 11 strikeouts.

On the flip side, it’s Cody Bellinger. Bellinger struggled by his standards in the regular season, batting .239 with 12 home runs, 30 RBI and a .789 OPS. Recently, he’s started to heat up, hitting .316 through five games of the postseason. The reigning NL MVP is 6-of-19 these playoffs and is second on the team with 11 total bases.

Bellinger has hits in 17 of his last 19 games and even though it’s a lefty-on-lefty matchup, one extra-base hit from him on Monday could change the game.

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Tony Garcia

Expert on Baseball

Tony writes about baseball for WSN.com after recently graduating with his Masters from the Medill School of Journalism at Northwestern University. Prior to that, Tony was a local sports reporter for MLive Media Group, based out of Jackson, Michigan where he covered everything from high school to professional sports. He graduated from Michigan State in 2015 with a degree in journalism. During his time there he covered the Michigan State football and men’s basketball teams from 2013-15 and hosted a sports radio show on WDBM 89FM.