Miami Marlins vs Chicago Cubs Predictions, Odds & Picks (October 1)

Marlins vs Cubs 10 01

  • Cubs turn to Darvish to keep the season alive
  • Marlins aim to continue the magical postseason streak
  • Who can get the big hit?

Marlins vs Cubs Odds

TeamRun SpreadTotalMoney Line
Miami Marlins+1.5 -129O 7 +102+155
Chicago Cubs-1.5 +108U 7 -124-180

 

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Marlins vs Cubs Predictions and Picks

The Cubs offense hasn’t been good enough to score many runs the past two weeks – being held to three or fewer runs in seven of their last 12. Runs will also be hard to come by for Miami against Darvish, regardless of his postseason record. We like the under in this one and the Marlins with the spread.

Picks:

Marlins with the spread +1.5 -129

Under -124

Betting record through 9/29/20 (37-37-1)

Trends

Marlins are 4-1 in their last five playoff road games

Marlins are 7-2 in their last nine playoff games

Marlins are 6-2 in their last eight playoff games as an underdog

Under is 5-1 in Marlins last six playoff games

Under is 8-3 in Marlins last 11 games vs. a right-handed starter

Cubs are 10-4 in their last 14 playoff games as a favorite

Cubs are 13-3 in their last 16 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5

Cubs are 1-4 in their last five playoff home games

Cubs are 6-14 in their last 20 home games vs. a team with a winning record

Under is 6-1 in Cubs last seven games as a favorite

Under is 4-1-1 in Cubs last six playoff games

Under is 9-3-1 in Cubs last 13 home games

Under is 16-7-1 in Cubs last 24 overall

How to Watch Marlins vs Cubs

Marlins vs Cubs Information
WhatMiami Marlins vs Chicago Cubs
WhereWrigley Field, Chicago, IL
WhenThursday, October 1, 2020, 2:00 PM EST
How to WatchABC

Can Yu Darvish Bring a Clutch Performance?

Yu Darvish will either win the National League Cy Young Award or finish as the runner up. As one of the two best pitchers in the NL, it is his job to step up. The other man who will win or finish second in Cy Young voting, Trevor Bauer, threw 7.2 innings of shutout baseball while walking none and striking out 12. That’s what an ace does and that’s what the Cubs desperately need from Darvish.

However, Darvish has been shaky in his postseason career. He’s pitched in six games. going 2-4 with a 5.81 ERA in the postseason, including four appearances in the 2017 postseason.

He was dominant in the NLDS and NLCS that year, going 2-0, pitching 11.1 combined innings, giving up two earned runs, walking one and striking out 14.

But he followed that with an extremely disappointing World Series, going 0-2 and giving up eight earned runs in a combined 3.1 innings in Game’s 3 and 7 in what ended up as a loss to the Astros.

However, this year, Darvish went 8-3, with a 2.01 ERA and 0.96 WHIP and comes off maybe his best outing of the season: seven innings, three hits, no runs, one walk, and five strikeouts against the White Sox.

Marlins Look to Continue Magical Postseason Streak

The Marlins played their first season as a franchise in 1993. In their 27-year history, they’ve made the playoffs twice: 1997 and 2003. The Marlins won the World Series in both of those seasons – meaning they have never lost a postseason series in franchise history.

After winning Game 1 by the score of 5-1, Miami is one win away from extending its impressive streak.

The man they will turn to toe rubber wasn’t technically a man just a few short years ago, he was a boy. That’s because it’s 22-year-old rookie Sixto Sanchez, who has been, understandably, up and down in his seven career starts. Sanchez had a stretch from his second through the fifth career start where he was absolutely electric, giving up just three earned runs in 27 innings, while going seven or more innings in three of four starts.

But in his last two starts, he went just seven combined innings, giving up nine earned runs while walking six after having walked only five batters in his first five starts.

Which Sanchez will show up for the Marlins in this potential series-clinching game?

Editor’s Picks

Both Teams Need to Capitalize on Opportunities

Every run, every batter, every pitch counts in the postseason. Everything goes under a microscope when it’s a win-or-go-home game for one side and the game is likely going to be decided by who can come up with the clutch hits.

Based on regular-season stats, the Marlins have the edge in this category. Miami was 17th in the MLB in batting average (.244) with runners in scoring position while the Cubs (.220) was 27th.

The Marlins were 0-for-9 in their first nine opportunities in Game 1 before a three-run shot by Corey Dickerson in the seventh. However, the Marlins offense will be slightly short-handed in Game 2 after Starling Marte broke his hand after getting hit by a pitch in the ninth inning.

Game 1 was the first time the Marlins scored five or more runs in an inning during a playoff game since Oct. 14, 2003 – the infamous Steve Bartman game, also against the Cubs at Wrigley Field.

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Tony Garcia

Expert on Baseball

Tony writes about baseball for WSN.com after recently graduating with his Masters from the Medill School of Journalism at Northwestern University. Prior to that, Tony was a local sports reporter for MLive Media Group, based out of Jackson, Michigan where he covered everything from high school to professional sports. He graduated from Michigan State in 2015 with a degree in journalism. During his time there he covered the Michigan State football and men’s basketball teams from 2013-15 and hosted a sports radio show on WDBM 89FM.