San Diego Padres vs Colorado Rockies Predictions, Odds & Picks (August 30)

San Diego Padres vs Colorado Rockies

  • Padres assume the mantle of fan-favorite in baseball
  • Rockies trying to solidify a playoff spot
  • Can Paddack keep the ball in the yard?

Padres vs Rockies Odds

TeamRun SpreadTotalMoney Line
San Diego Padres-1.5 -110O 12.5 -110-150
Colorado Rockies+1.5 -110U 12.5 -110+135

 

Odds from BetMGM. Get up to a $500 sign-up bonus at BetMGM NJ today or check out more offers and promo codes for the best online sportsbooks.

Padres vs Rockies Predictions and Picks

Ryan Castellani has never faced a lineup as deep as the Padres. Chris Paddack has given up six runs in two of his last three starts. The over is 11-2 in the last 13 meetings between these teams. Everything about this game says there will be runs and we’re not going to question it, we like the over even at this high number.

Pick:

Over 12.5 -110

Betting record through 8/29/20 (20-16-1)

Trends

Padres are 7-0 in last seven games vs. right-handed starter

Padres are 7-2 in last nine games as favorite

Over is 5-2 in Padres last seven games vs. right-handed starter

Over is 7-3 in Padres last 10 games as road favorite

Over is 11-2 in last 13 meetings in Colorado

Over is 4-0 in Rockies last four Sunday games

Over is 6-0 in Rockies last six during game three of a series

Over is 4-1 in Rockies last five home games

How to Watch Padres vs Rockies

Padres vs Rockies Information
WhatSan Diego Padres vs Colorado Rockies
WhereCoors Field, Denver CO
WhenSunday, August 30, 2020, 3:10 PM EST
How to WatchWatch on ESPN+ here!

Everybody Loves a Rebel

It’s amazing how fast a franchise can go from irrelevant to must-watch. It’s happened in about one month for the San Diego Padres. Sure, the true baseball fan, knew the Padres were going to be a formidable team this season. But the layman likely could have named one or two players tops on this roster prior to the season.

But ever since Fernando Tatis Jr. hit a 3-0 grand slam against the Rangers while leading by seven runs late in the game, everybody has taken notice. That sparked what was a seven-game winning streak and one of the most exciting stretches of baseball for a team all season.

The Padres set a new MLB record, belting grand slams in four consecutive games during that streak, and hit five in the span of six days. Everybody now knows Tatis Jr – the 21-year-old superstar – and Manny Machado who was the big acquisition a season ago, and Eric Hosmer who is a veteran leader in the clubhouse.

But it’s other names who are like Jake Cronenworth, the rookie out of the University of Michigan who is hitting a team-best .348, Wil Meyers who is finally living up to his potential and Ty France, who has only played in just more than half the team’s games but is hitting .320 with a .902 OPS and drove in four on Friday to lead the Padres over the Rockies.

Rockies Looking to Get Back to October

They haven’t made any noise in the postseason, but the Rockies are quietly looking to get back to the playoffs for the third time in four years.

In a normal season, their one-game-above .500 record right now would put them in the final wild-card spot, but with the expanded playoffs they’re well inside the proverbial cut line.

That comes in spite of a 1-10 stretch the middle of this month which saw them fall a season-low two games below .500. The Rockies are buoyed by their two strengths – a deep lineup and the starting rotation. Colorado ranked in the top half of the MLB in most offensive categories entering Saturday including batting average (4th), runs (7th), on-base percentage (12th), and slugging percentage (12th).

Their lineup has been bolstered by Charlie Blackmon and Trevor Story, although Blackmon has gone cold as of late, watching his .426 average fall 70 points in just 10 days after a recent  3-of-23 stretch.

But it’s not just the lineup that has the Rockies playing good ball, the starting pitching has been sensational as well, racking up 18 quality starts – second in all of baseball – including a gem by Antonio Senzatela last night: seven innings, seven hits, one walk, three strikeouts, and no runs in the win.

The problem has been the bullpen, which is why the team ERA ranks in the bottom half of the league (18th).

The bullpen issues reared their ugly head again last night when a 3-0 lead evaporated when Carlos Estevez gave up three hits and three runs in two-thirds of an inning before Daniel Murphy hit a walk-off single in the bottom of the ninth to win it.

The Rockies now turn to Ryan Castellani to see if they can win the series. Castellani, the 48th overall pick in 2014, has done well in his rookie season, sporting a 1-1 record and 3.54 ERA through four career starts. He picked up his first career win in his last outing, throwing six innings of two-run ball against the Diamondbacks.

Can Paddack Keep the Ball in the Yard?

There is one main reason Chris Paddack has taken a step back from his rookie season in 2019: the home run. Paddack has had major difficulty keeping the ball in the yard this year, giving up 10 home runs in his seven starts. Because of that, Paddack has a 5.15 ERA and 1.23 WHIP along with a 2-3 record.

In the seven games, Paddack has started, the Padres are 3-4 and the teams have combined for nine or more runs on six occasions. He’s thrown three quality starts, but he hasn’t been able to go deep into games like a season ago.

In 2019 almost half of his innings (66 of 135) ended in just three batters. However through 38 innings this season, only 10 have gone 1-2-3. That’s resulted in high pitch counts and not pitching in a seventh-inning this year.

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Tony Garcia

Expert on Baseball

Tony writes about baseball for WSN.com after recently graduating with his Masters from the Medill School of Journalism at Northwestern University. Prior to that, Tony was a local sports reporter for MLive Media Group, based out of Jackson, Michigan where he covered everything from high school to professional sports. He graduated from Michigan State in 2015 with a degree in journalism. During his time there he covered the Michigan State football and men’s basketball teams from 2013-15 and hosted a sports radio show on WDBM 89FM.