New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays Predictions, Odds & Picks (October 9)
- It’s win or go home
- Two aces square off
- Players to watch
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Yankees vs Rays Odds
|Team||Run Spread||Total||Money Line|
|New York Yankees||-1.5 +115||O 7.5 +102||-150|
|Tampa Bay Rays||+1.5 -136||U 7.5 -124||+130|
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Yankees vs Rays Predictions and Picks
The Yankees are the heavy favorites in this game behind Gerrit Cole, but they shouldn’t be. In the first 27 innings when someone named Cole wasn’t pitching, the Yankees gave up 24 runs. Eventually, Cole will be out of the game and the Yankees bullpen isn’t rested. Not to mention, the Rays are 14-2 in their last 16 games following a loss – they rarely lose two in a row. We like the under and Rays money line.
Betting record through 10/8/20 (42-41-1)
Yankees are 4-1 in their last five games as a favorite
Yankees are 11-4 in their last 15 games following a win
Yankees are 5-2 in their last seven divisional playoff games
Yankees are 36-16 in their last 52 playoff games as a favorite
Yankees are 13-6 in their last 19 vs AL East
Over is 4-0 in last four after scoring five runs or more the previous day
Over is 6-1 in Yankees last seven playoff games
Over is 5-1 in Yankees last six following a win
Over is 5-1 in Yankees last six vs team with a winning record
Over is 11-3 in Yankees last 14 vs AL East
Rays are 8-2 in last 10 home meetings vs Yankees
Rays are 12-4 overall in last 16 meetings
Over is 4-1 in last five meetings when Rays are home team
Rays are 14-2 in their last 16 games following a loss
Rays are 11-4 in last 15 games as an underdog
Rays are 38-14 in their last 52 overall
Rays are 5-11 in their last 16 divisional playoff games
Over is 4-1 in Rays last five playoff games
Under is 7-2 in Rays last nine games as an underdog
How to Watch Yankees vs Rays
|Yankees vs Rays Information|
|What||New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays|
|Where||Petco Park, San Diego, CA|
|When||Friday, October 9, 2020, 7:10 PM EST|
|How to Watch||TBS|
Win or Go Home
The best words in sports – game seven. However, when it’s a best of five series instead of best of seven, we will settle for “game five” just the same.
So, who has the edge? Well, that’s hard to say. On the one hand, the Yankees will have Gerrit Cole on three days rest while Tyler Glasnow will go on just two days of rest.
Furthermore, the Yankees have the more potent lineup and it seems it’s rounding into form. Giancarlo Stanton is on a tear of epic proportion, belting six home runs in the last six games. Luke Voit broke out of a 1-for-11 slump with his first career postseason home run.
Gleyber Torres hit a two-run moon shot as well. And while Aaron Judge is hitting just .100 in this series, he’s always a threat to change a game with one swing of the bat.
However, the Yankees had to all of their best bullpen arms in order to keep the series alive. Chad Green threw two innings, Zack Britton went 1.2 innings and Chapman threw 22 pitches in 1.1 innings. The Rays also are playing their fifth game in five days, but their bullpen is in much better shape, with Nick Anderson, Diego Castillo, and Pete Fairbanks.
Cole vs Glasnow in the Matchup We All Want to See
They might not be on full rest, but both the Yankees and Rays have their best pitcher with the ball in their hand in a win-or-go-home situation. That’s all you can hope for as a baseball fan.
Gerrit Cole threw 97 pitches on Monday, pitching six innings, giving up three runs on six hits and two walks while striking out eight in a game one win. Glasnow threw 93 pitches on Tuesday, going five innings, giving up four runs on three hits and three walks while striking out 10.
Both teams are at their best with their man on the mound. The Rays are 10-0 the last 10 times Glasnow has started a game. However, the last loss which came more than two months ago on Aug. 8, came against the Yankees. If Glasnow only goes a few innings, which is definitely a possibility, Blake Snell is a possibility to come on as a piggyback.
We know what both pitchers do. Throw hard. High spin rate on the breaking balls. Consistently strikeout opponents. It now just comes down to execution.
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Player(s) to Watch
If there’s one player we’re watching on each side who isn’t a pitcher, it’s DJ LeMahieu and Randy Arozarena.
LeMahieu is 6-of-18 this series, a respectable .333 average, but hasn’t come up with a big hit yet. Each of his six hits is singles and he’s driven in just one run in the series, which came on a sacrifice fly in game four. If the Yankees are going to win, the AL batting champion will need to come up big.
On the other side, it’s Arozarena. Who? Just a man who defected from Cuba, survived Covid-19 earlier this year, and has multiple hits in four of the last five games with three home runs. The 25-year-old went 0-for-4 on Thursday but he’s been a spark plug all season, so if he has a big day on Friday, you can expect it to end in a Tampa Bay victory.
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Tony writes about baseball for WSN.com after recently graduating with his Masters from the Medill School of Journalism at Northwestern University. Prior to that, Tony was a local sports reporter for MLive Media Group, based out of Jackson, Michigan where he covered everything from high school to professional sports. He graduated from Michigan State in 2015 with a degree in journalism. During his time there he covered the Michigan State football and men’s basketball teams from 2013-15 and hosted a sports radio show on WDBM 89FM.